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Severe Weather 3/9 - 3/12

A little concerned about what's gonna come out of Wheatfield, IN. That town took the most direct hit out of any town in the path and it had a decent population.
 



PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...80 PERCENT

SUMMARY...A RISK OF DAMAGING WINDS AND TORNADOES MAY DEVELOP INTO
EASTERN OKLAHOMA, SOUTHWEST MISSOURI AND FAR WESTERN ARKANSAS THIS
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. A NEW WATCH WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED.

DISCUSSION...SEVERAL CORRIDORS OF STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ARE
ONGOING FROM SOUTHEAST KS INTO SOUTHERN OK AND NORTH TX. MUCH OF
THIS ACTIVITY HAS BECOME LINEAR/MCS, THOUGH EMBEDDED CELLS ARE NOTED
AT TIMES. THE ENVIRONMENT REMAINS FAVORABLE FOR A CONTINUED SEVERE
RISK ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF EASTERN OK INTO ADJACENT STATES, WITH
40-50 KT EFFECTIVE SHEAR AND A MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS. FURTHER,
LOW-LEVEL SHEAR AND SRH HAS INCREASED MARKEDLY OVER THE LAST FEW
HOURS. FOR INSTANCE, THE SGF VWP INDICATES OVER 500 M2/S2 0-1 SRH,
WITH NEARLY 400 M2/S2 AT INX WHICH IS CONDITIONALLY FAVORABLE FOR
STRONG TORNADOES.

CONDITIONALLY, IF DISCRETE CELLS CAN DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE
APPROACHING LINES OF STORMS, CONDITIONS WOULD CLEARLY FAVOR
TORNADOES. IF THE STORM MODE REMAINS LARGELY LINEAR, CORRIDORS OF
DAMAGING WINDS AND EMBEDDED MESOCYCLONES MAY STILL YIELD A TORNADO.

..JEWELL/HART.. 03/11/2026
 
A little concerned about what's gonna come out of Wheatfield, IN. That town took the most direct hit out of any town in the path and it had a decent population.
I do think the power flash spam was because it hit a power station about 2 miles north of town, which probably bodes well for the town itself.
 
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