Severe Weather 3/9 - 3/12

[Muwx]

Feeder band is getting fed into the Hudson IL store per Copic.

That storm is going to have to hook right very quickly or it is going to cross the boundary before it ever matures .

 

[UncleJuJu98]

Gunna jinx it lol

Well id rather reed being in texas because I don't want to hear a grown man screaming about dynamic pipes while driving like a maniac down the back roads in Illinois.

 

[speedbump305]

The blip near Bloomington, IL is starting to expand. Could be one of the first big storms of the day.

 

[rushdude]

The sun has come out here in DFW and wind is breezy. Is no bueno

 

[speedbump305]

The sun has come out here in DFW and wind is breezy. Is no bueno

Yikes… that’s not good at all. DFW needs to be on high alert.

 

[genie]

Probably will still be a few cells on the southern end of the moderate that pop off later today though. Anything that crosses the warm front will be a hailer and nothing else and that’s like half of the moderate risk.

As Trey mentioned, typically you need a more subtle warm front to maximize tornado potential. With such a strong warm front, tornadoes often cross to the cold side and struggle. Past events in the region featured warm fronts that were much less defined.

 

[Kds86z]

 

[ColdFront]

Is he actually lol.

I was joking. I’m sure he’s probably wishing he’d stayed close to home though in the southern area.

 

[tornado examiner]

The current northern storms are all tracking directly for the warm front and if they don’t change directions, they will cross it or have already crossed it before they have a chance to produce tornadoes.

 

[Ozonelayer]

Tops up to 40,000 ft on the Bloomington cell.

 

[US_Highway15]

Surprised we still haven't gotten that Tornado Watch yet.

 

[Kds86z]

 

[genie]

By no means am I dismissing the northern risk area, but I personally might spend more time focusing on the southern side of this. It's looking a little more serious than I expected.

 

[US_Highway15]

 

[US_Highway15]

By no means am I dismissing the northern risk area, but I personally might spend more time focusing on the southern side of this. It's looking a little more serious than I expected.

I completely agree, unless that boundary pushes back north, which even then the environment won't recover in time.

 

[US_Highway15]

There's that watch.

 

[Kds86z]

Tornado watch no pds

 

[cincywx]

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 32
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
355 PM CDT TUE MAR 10 2026

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEAST IOWA
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL ILLINOIS
FAR NORTHWEST INDIANA
FAR NORTHEAST MISSOURI

* EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 355 PM UNTIL
1100 PM CDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
A FEW TORNADOES AND A COUPLE INTENSE TORNADOES LIKELY
SCATTERED LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 3
INCHES IN DIAMETER LIKELY
SCATTERED DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED SIGNIFICANT GUSTS TO 75
MPH POSSIBLE

SUMMARY...SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD QUICKLY DEVELOP THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING WHILE POSING A THREAT FOR LARGE TO VERY LARGE
HAIL (UP TO 2-3 INCHES IN DIAMETER). THE TORNADO THREAT WILL LIKELY
INCREASE THROUGH THE EVENING WITH ANY SUPERCELLS THAT CAN REMAIN
ALONG AND SOUTH OF A SURFACE BOUNDARY DRAPED ACROSS SOUTHEAST IOWA
INTO NORTH-CENTRAL ILLINOIS AND NORTHWEST INDIANA. A COUPLE OF
STRONG TO INTENSE TORNADOES APPEAR POSSIBLE. SCATTERED
SEVERE/DAMAGING WINDS MAY ALSO OCCUR.

 

[ColdFront]

By no means am I dismissing the northern risk area, but I personally might spend more time focusing on the southern side of this. It's looking a little more serious than I expected.

That dryline has sharpened some, more so than how it’s been modeled leading up to today.

 

[Tennie]

The watch for IA/IL has 70/60 tornado probs on it.