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Severe Weather 3/4 - 3/8




..TX PANHANDLE/NORTHWEST TX INTO WESTERN OK AND SOUTHERN KS

MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY WILL GRADUALLY BUILD DURING THE DAY AS THE
WARM FRONT PUSHES THROUGH DURING THE AFTERNOON. THERE IS SOME
CONCERN ABOUT THE DEGREE OF CAPPING, ESPECIALLY ACROSS EASTERN
AREAS. HOWEVER, IT APPEARS HEATING WILL BE SUFFICIENT TO INSTIGATE A
FEW SUPERCELLS, DEVELOPING BY LATE AFTERNOON ACROSS THE EASTERN TX
PANHANDLE AND PERHAPS PORTIONS OF THE SOUTH PLAINS OR NORTHWEST TX.
STEEP LAPSE RATES ALOFT ALONG WITH VEERING WINDS WITH HEIGHT WILL
CLEARLY SUPPORT SUPERCELL MODE INITIALLY, WITH VERY LARGE HAIL AND
TORNADO POTENTIAL. THESE CELLS, OR A DEVELOPING CLUSTER, WILL LIKELY
CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING ACROSS MUCH OF WESTERN OK AND PERHAPS
TOWARD SOUTHERN KS BY LATE EVENING. BY THAT TIME, SHEAR WILL BE
QUITE STRONG, AND MAY SUPPORT SIGNIFICANT BOWING STRUCTURES.

..NORTHERN KS...NE...IA
 
SUPPORT A POTENTIAL FOR STRONG TORNADOES. AS
STORM COVERAGE EXPANDS IN THE MID TO LATE EVENING, A SEVERE LINE
SEGMENT IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AND MOVE INTO THE WESTERN OZARKS.
TORNADOES AND SEVERE WIND GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ROTATING CELLS
EMBEDDED IN THE LINE AND WITH BOWING LINE SEGMENTS.
 
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