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2/19/26- 2/20/26 - severe threat discussion

WeathermanLeprechaun said:
This is the thing. Chasers have 10# in their minds as "SEVERAL significant tornadoes, photogenic, long track!"

That was never on the cards. One or two sigtors minium. What did we get? We got that. This was a perfect 10# whilst I was skeptical of it, SPC had enough confidence to go for it. I personally wouldn't have. But in the end, the sigtor threat verified. I don't know what the complaints are. One minute, it's about tornado warnings in a QLCS, then the other, oh, did the SPC really verify this 10#?

The whole lot of them over there really need to shut up LOL
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Yeah, it's pretty ridiculous to even suggest this setup didn't verify. We got significant tornadoes. I'm sure there's going to be isolated spots of EF2 damage somewhere, and even if there isn't, there were plenty of storms capable of producing tornadoes that were dangerous to life and property regardless of their rating. People just love being contrarians for the sake of it now. Imagine being one of those people that lost their home to the Flat Rock tornado, and then you see something like this.

I'm sure they aren't trying to be insensitive, but it sure comes off that way.
 
CheeselandSkies said:
The perception gets skewed when some 10# days turn out like April 26, 2024.
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To be entirely fair, the instability uptrend on the day of was absolutely nuts. I'm sure if the models handled the instability well, it may have even been called a high risk. The thermodynamics that day were truly incredible.
 
slenker said:
Yeah, it's pretty ridiculous to even suggest this setup didn't verify. We got significant tornadoes. I'm sure there's going to be isolated spots of EF2 damage somewhere, and even if there isn't, there were plenty of storms capable of producing tornadoes that were dangerous to life and property regardless of their rating. People just love being contrarians for the sake of it now. Imagine being one of those people that lost their home to the Flat Rock tornado, and then you see something like this.

I'm sure they aren't trying to be insensitive, but it sure comes off that way.
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Oh you think we’ll squeeze out an ef2.
 
I'm still shocked at how last afternoon and night went despite the event being called off by numerous people. Luckily damage in Bloomington seems limited but I'm yet to see anything from Crawford County; that tornado is the one with the highest chance to be EF2+.
 
Ozonelayer said:
I'd personally go EF-2 but if the top photo is a regular home and not a mobile home, then I'd be all for a low end EF-3. Will have to wait for better photos though.
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1771595490150.png
(Slightly) better photo
 
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