Severe Weather 2025

[Clancy]

Radar-confirmed, and spotted OTG by chasers.

 

[AJS]

Radar-confirmed, and spotted OTG by chasers.
View attachment 48881

Yeah, it’s 100% on the ground. Can’t believe this is happening to be honest. Not looking forward to round 2 earlier which is supposed to be even more wild.

 

[WeathermanLeprechaun]

Tornado otg still!

 

[Kds86z]

 

[Kds86z]

 

[Clancy]

18z hrrr is impressive for the warm sector in central Alabama tommorow. I think the 5% is good though unless there's some mesoscale stuff tommrow that increases the risk

Sounding from vicinity of Ashland/Alexander City tomorrow at 18Z. Lots of 3CAPE and a nicely-curved hodograph. Considering the parent system is already pulling away to the north at this point, those are impressive SRH values. Have a feeling it could be a sneaky day tomorrow in Alabama and parts of Georgia. Hard to justify a 10% though, but is one of those setups where that could verify if it reaches its potential. We may have just enough LLLR-CAPE overlap to support more vigorous activity along the AL/GA border tomorrow, depending on how things progress.

 

[Kds86z]

 

[CheeselandSkies]

Check out this frame I grabbed of the hook echo at just 50' AGL from the Houston Intercontinental TDWR!

 

[UncleJuJu98]

Sounding from vicinity of Ashland/Alexander City tomorrow at 18Z. Lots of 3CAPE and a nicely-curved hodograph. Considering the parent system is already pulling away to the north at this point, those are impressive SRH values. Have a feeling it could be a sneaky day tomorrow in Alabama and parts of Georgia. Hard to justify a 10% though, but is one of those setups where that could verify if it reaches its potential. We may have just enough LLLR-CAPE overlap to support more vigorous activity along the AL/GA border tomorrow, depending on how things progress.
View attachment 48883View attachment 48884

I think any 10% risk we see will heavily depend on the morning system and how it finishes. Maybe enough of a gradient or something to create a focal point somewhere in central Alabama for more intense convection.

 

[Kds86z]

 

[WeathermanLeprechaun]

Just hasn't been my day in terms of trying to forecast this event we'll but it would appear a conditional strong tornado or two will continue in SE TX along the confluence band as of latest models

 

[MichelleH]

Since this system already seems to be overperforming, I thought I would go ahead. Give me a bit to move things.

https://talkweather.com/threads/severe-weather-threat-november-24-25-2025.2467/

 

[Kds86z]

 

[JPWX]

Good news is that the current drought across MS and Deep South is gonna take a significant dent the next 7 to 14 days.

 

[WeathermanLeprechaun]

CIPS 18Z up to 80% across North Alabama now.

View attachment 48896

Post in thread 'Severe Weather Threat November 24-25, 2025'

Nov 24, 2025

Tornadic circulations may persist past 06z with isolated prefrontals STILL possible in NE LA/W MS with a embedded tor threat on the line. The timing is more late then expected, being honest. This tornado threat may last all night...

• WeathermanLeprechaun

• 

We have a thread for today's and tomorrow's event

 

[JPWX]

Latest GFS, Canadian, Euro, NBM thru 240 hours and ICON thru 180 hours. Euro is currently the outlier as far as total rainfall.

 

[Grand Poo Bah]

Is there a place to discuss snowstorms/blizzards? Would a dedicated thread be worth starting? Looks like it's going to be a very active year in that regard.

 

[MichelleH]

Is there a place to discuss snowstorms/blizzards? Would a dedicated thread be worth starting? Looks like it's going to be a very active year in that regard.

There's a thread for winter weather discussion - https://talkweather.com/threads/winter-weather-season-2025-26.2446/

 

[Grand Poo Bah]

There's a thread for winter weather discussion - https://talkweather.com/threads/winter-weather-season-2025-26.2446/

Thank you!

 

[Clancy]

Looking out on the horizon, seems like we may continue to have at least passing opportunities at severe weather. Nothing to worry about for now, but may end up being worth keeping eyes on.