Hurricane Melissa

[tornado examiner]

Looks like recon is tapping out.


Next plane takes off in 55 minutes

I didn't see this. Thank Thor they’re doing these consistently

 

[tornado examiner]

View attachment 47957

I am again struck by how strong the convection to the SE of Melissa is. Also - she looks as strong right now as she ever has, IMO.

The eye wall CDO on IR got brighter all at once with a faster spin. Could that be another round of RI?
Yo, what, I've literally never seen this effect in a tropical cyclone before.

 

[Stormchaser4life]

The eye wall CDO on IR got brighter all at once with a faster spin. Could that be another round of RI?

Lightning has also exploded in eyewall. Wish we had a plane in there now.

 

[tornado examiner]

Well here we go. The dreaded missed peak. (sarcasm)

This thing is exploding again. Usually they last a while at their peak before the EWRC.

 

[lake.effect]

Melissa appears to be moving almost due south or south of west.
Wondering if the smaller westward movement will affect its future track when it turns to something more east than expected

 

[tornado examiner]

The entire CDO is quickly becoming pink.

 

[JPWX]

Yeah. Lightning went from 20 to 50 strikes within the last 2 frames of the animation on WeatherNerds

Weathernerds Satellite Data

www.weathernerds.org

 

[joshoctober16]

not sure if anyone notice this but malissa is now clearly moving south instead of west.

 

[lake.effect]

The entire CDO is quickly becoming pink.

Yeah, going nuclear. Looks like Dorian or a WPAC monster right now.

 

[N0mz]

Anyone know where the air force 53rd is taking off from? scheduled to levae in about 30 minutes now

 

[majorhurricane1703]

not sure if anyone notice this but malissa is now clearly moving south instead of west.

I’m telling you a slow moving storm is a nightmare for models to latch on to precisely. When a storm is as strong as this is also slow moving it can create its’ own steering environment to some extent.

 

[akt1985]

Still 145 MPH with 11 PM Eastern advisory

 

[tornado examiner]

CDO and Lightning exploding. Likely so is the pressure.

 

[JPWX]

Melissa is giving the finger

 

[joshoctober16]

I’m telling you a slow moving storm is a nightmare for models to latch on to precisely. When a storm is as strong as this is also slow moving it can create its’ own steering environment to some extent.

it had a elie tornado like path for most of its life , doing loops.

 

[joshoctober16]

CDO and Lightning exploding. Likely so is the pressure.

the -80 temp is completely closed now.

 

[akt1985]

A little bit of good news, the Hurricane Watch for Haiti has been discontinued.

 

[N0mz]

Please keep in mind...

 

[JPWX]

Shear is below 20kts around Melissa and it's within the highest OHC. Nothing holding it back now.

 

[Cyclonic Paracosm]

Shear is below 20kts around Melissa and it's within the highest OHC. Nothing holding it back now.

oh booy its gonna go down now fuuuun