Yeah I don't know either @tornado examiner, but then again, what do I know about a storm in high oceanic heat content in an area completely untouched this season. LOL!
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Tropical Storm Melissa
- Thread starter Jacob Aden
- Start date
tornado examiner
Member
One of those storms where we could go to sleep on a category 1 hurricane and wake up to a category 3 on its way to a category 5.
Just like Milton
Just like Milton
Kds86z
Member
Lake Martin EF4
Member
Good news: Jamaica won't get an intensifying C4-C5 rolling up the entire southern coast
Bad news: This means Melissa may indeed reach C5
Ugly news: Jamaica looks like it's gonna get smashed flat as a pancake by Melissa in about 96 hours presuming the turn remains as far east as it is forecast to
Melissa Retirement Potential: >90%
Bad news: This means Melissa may indeed reach C5
Ugly news: Jamaica looks like it's gonna get smashed flat as a pancake by Melissa in about 96 hours presuming the turn remains as far east as it is forecast to
Melissa Retirement Potential: >90%
Lake Martin EF4
Member
And we have liftoff!
joshoctober16
Member
a other bad sign has showed up.
a very common thing to see with rapid intensification is a strange large thunderstorm blob beside it
here is hurricane Mathew with its blob
here is milton with its blob
might notice they tend to be on the east or the north.
a very common thing to see with rapid intensification is a strange large thunderstorm blob beside it
here is hurricane Mathew with its blob
here is milton with its blob
might notice they tend to be on the east or the north.
tornado examiner
Member
My peak intensity prediction. 180mph cat 5 less than 910MB pinhole eye that cycles right before completing the north turn into Jamaica. Weakening as it does so.
Lake Martin EF4
Member
joshoctober16
Member
here is a normal color of the soon to be hurricane with its blob.
the blob has 2 super high overshooting top peaks , its similar to the giant 2022 Hunga Tonga volcano eruption overshooting top , pretty much some super strong explosive convective growth right now.
the blob has 2 super high overshooting top peaks , its similar to the giant 2022 Hunga Tonga volcano eruption overshooting top , pretty much some super strong explosive convective growth right now.
Lake Martin EF4
Member
There was literally a shockwave from Melissa's core earlier btw. Basically an "oh SH#T" visual right then.
joshoctober16
Member
oh you are correct at around 15:00z to 17:00z
Lake Martin EF4
Member
Also no props to the GFS who forecast a Haiti landfall scenario long after reality had basically rendered it into horseshit. They really need to do that GFS upgrade lmao
WeathermanLeprechaun
Member
Really beginning to think Melissa has more in store for us with the current satellite. Just that look to it concerns me alone.
tornado examiner
Member
Yo that radiating pulse of citrus on the northeast side of it. Intense.
WeathermanLeprechaun
Member
And also that Melissa would be just a C1 LOL
joshoctober16
Member
tornado examiner
Member
Wilma and Patricia’s intensification rates may soon be rivaled by Melissa.
joshoctober16
Member
question about Harvey , but how much rain did it dump in 24 hours?
cause we have 400 mm in 24 hours from this thing.
and 200 mm in 6 hours
cause we have 400 mm in 24 hours from this thing.
and 200 mm in 6 hours
N0mz
Member
Crazy that a direct hit at c4-c5 intensity is certainly the better of two evils in this scenario
joshoctober16
Member
even 206 mm of rain in 3 hours.
PW is almost at 3.
