2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season

[warneagle]

there's a new 0/30 lemon in the eastern Atlantic so I guess the climatological peak of hurricane season isn't technically a total nothingburger?

 

[Kds86z]

 

[Clancy]

there's a new 0/30 lemon in the eastern Atlantic so I guess the climatological peak of hurricane season isn't technically a total nothingburger?

Tangerine now.

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Fri Sep 12 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

1. Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave located near the west coast of Africa is producing
disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the far eastern
Atlantic. Environmental conditions appear conducive for some
gradual development of this system over the next several days. A
tropical depression could form by the middle part of next week while
it moves westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph over the
eastern and central tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.



Forecaster Berg

 

[Kds86z]

 

[Kds86z]

 

[wx_guy]

70% now

 

[Atlantic]

Hopefully it does form and it isn’t a model bu$t like the last high chance AEW.

 

[Kds86z]

 

[Atlantic]

Let’s see if this succeeds where the previous cherry bu$ted badly.

 

[akt1985]

Knock on wood, but with all that is going on in America right now, I’m glad we aren’t dealing so far with a land falling major hurricane so far this season. Maybe it will stay that way.

 

[Kds86z]

 

[wx_guy]

So looks like it's very likely 92L will recurve (but not guaranteed yet). The wave behind it may be more of a wild card.

 

[Atlantic]

So looks like it's very likely 92L will recurve (but not guaranteed yet). The wave behind it may be more of a wild card.

It’s sooo very odd to not see a single Gulf track on the track maps though now Mid-September. And that’s comparing it to the barrage of Gulf storms from 2016 though 2024.

 

[Atlantic]

It’s sooo very odd to not see a single Gulf track on the track maps though now Mid-September. And that’s comparing it to the barrage of Gulf storms from 2016 though 2024.

Just look at this (no U.S. Gulf landfalls yet):

 

[Kds86z]

Just look at this (no U.S. Gulf landfalls yet):
View attachment 46568

Insnse

 

[Kds86z]

Just look at this (no U.S. Gulf landfalls yet):
View attachment 46568

Gabrielle to come @Atlantic.

 

[Atlantic]

Gabrielle to come @Atlantic.

But soon-to-be Gabrielle will likely also be a recurving hurricane like Erin thankfully:

 

[Kds86z]

But soon-to-be Gabrielle will likely also be a recurving hurricane like Erin thankfully:

Which is good

 

[Kds86z]