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Severe Threat May 15-16, 2025

Not to get OT, but that path is super similar to the 1927 F3 IIRC. I think the 1959 F4 went through basically the same area as well.
One thing's for sure: That's yet another tornado that's hit the St. Louis Metro area, alright!
 
This is one of the crazier satellite loops I've ever seen.


Ryan Hall showed that sometime earlier on his stream, and pointed out just how crazy it is to see the rotation on those storms on satellite imagery!
 
RAP is, among other models, latching onto the idea of an enhanced environment in place over parts of MS/AL/GA late tonight into tomorrow morning. CAPE >1,000 j/kg and SRH of 150-300 m2/s2 could give rise to dangerous storms, including a threat for tornadoes. Winds and hail would be the primary hazards, however. Interests across northern Alabama, Georgia and Mississippi, should remain alert tonight into tomorrow.
CODNEXLAB-FORECAST-2025051618-RAP-SE-con-1kmhel-10-15-100.gifCODNEXLAB-FORECAST-2025051618-RAP-SE-con-cape3km-10-15-100.gifCODNEXLAB-FORECAST-2025051618-RAP-SE-con-mucape-10-15-100.gifCODNEXLAB-FORECAST-2025051618-RAP-SE-con-3kmehi-10-15-100.gif
 
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