Severe Weather 2025

[AJS]

@UncleJuJu98 what are the models in particular showing through Texas on Tuesday?

 

[UncleJuJu98]

@UncleJuJu98 what are the models in particular showing through Texas on Tuesday?

Just higher parameters, haven't looked really into it. If there will actually be substantial convection in the warm sector.

 

[AJS]

Just higher parameters, haven't looked really into it. If there will actually be substantial convection in the warm sector.

If parameters are set up for some tornadoes, this could be my first good chase this season!

 

[AJS]

I know they say this quite often, but it is always attention catching when they mention all severe hazards are possible.

 

[Kds86z]

If parameters are set up for some tornadoes, this could be my first good chase this season!

Outlook upgrade to come possibly.

 

[Tanner]

Still looking at a reasonably active month once we break out of the omega blocking pattern and resume at least minutely synoptic patterns after the 13th of May.

 

[AJS]

Outlook upgrade to come possibly.

For Tuesday?

 

[AJS]

Max Velocity believes an enhanced could be issued for Tuesday if convection is limited.

 

[Brice W]

Make what you want of this, but the latter part of May looks to be an active one.

 

[AJS]

View attachment 40955View attachment 40956Make what you want of this, but the latter part of May looks to be an active one.

I feel like we are in for another active May.

 

[Kds86z]

I feel like we are in for another active May.

Not according to treys forecast @AJS

 

[UncleJuJu98]

View attachment 40955View attachment 40956Make what you want of this, but the latter part of May looks to be an active one.

That's a intresting week 3. Would be on par with how active the mid south has been this spring though.

 

[Clancy]

All TORs expired for now. Wouldn't be surprised if surveys find one or two spin-ups eventually.

Sure enough, there was a brief tornado with that storm outside Greenville last night.

 

[JPWX]

I'm just interested in where the bulk of the severe weather activity for May ends up being and how many tornadoes we see.

 

[Brice W]

I'm just interested in where the bulk of the severe weather activity for May ends up being and how many tornadoes we see.

I would take it as a grain of salt with the Supercell Composite. However I do find it interesting that SC looks to have that little hotspot. Definitely a when and where we will see tornadoes than an if.

 

[AJS]

Large 15% over the Houston Metro for Tuesday.

 

[tornado examiner]

Oh wow ima get severe weather? Cool.

 

[AJS]

Oh wow ima get severe weather? Cool.

Max Velocity seems to think an upgrade to an enhanced risk is possible.

 

[Tanner]

Not according to treys forecast @AJS

We need to stop listening to one man’s opinions and actually take into account the fact that it was a projection. Trey is an amazing forecaster, meteorologist, and person. I aspire to someone like him! But I wouldn’t want everyone looking at me and only me for the matter of telling you what I think is going to happen, I would want you to do your own observations and take in multiple perspectives.

 

[Kds86z]

We need to stop listening to one man’s opinions and actually take into account the fact that it was a projection. Trey is an amazing forecaster, meteorologist, and person. I aspire to someone like him! But I wouldn’t want everyone looking at me and only me for the matter of telling you what I think is going to happen, I would want you to do your own observations and take in multiple perspectives.

I’m no expert but I feel this May won’t be to active.