2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season

[IdaliaHelene]

My belief is that the cycle for the coming year could begin as early as late-September.

University of Arizona going near-normal like Tropical Storm Risk.

View attachment 39569

Thoughts on the design evolution:

It looks like they want to spice things up

 

[IdaliaHelene]

@Atlantic @Wazim Khan HOLY COPE @ whoever this is

Dale Link's Hurricane & Typhoon Landfall Forecasts

www.dalelink.com

THEY WERE OFF WITH 2017 AS WELL:


AND THEY WERE OFF WITH 2016:

 

[Wazim Khan]

North Carolina State University is forecasting 12 - 15 named storms, 6 - 8 hurricanes and 2 - 3 major hurricanes.
NCSU, TSR and UA are underestimating the 2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season.

Experts Predict 12 to 15 Named Storms This Hurricane Season

Expect an average hurricane season this year, according to NC State experts.

news.ncsu.edu

 

[Wazim Khan]

 

[IdaliaHelene]

North Carolina State University is forecasting 12 - 15 named storms, 6 - 8 hurricanes and 2 - 3 major hurricanes.
NCSU, TSR and UA are underestimating the 2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season.

Experts Predict 12 to 15 Named Storms This Hurricane Season

Expect an average hurricane season this year, according to NC State experts.

news.ncsu.edu

WHAT ARE THEY ON
I’m taking mainstream forecasts with a grain of salt and comedy
I’m putting more faith in lezak

 

[IdaliaHelene]

View attachment 39782

Never forget the Atmospheric Anti-Climax forecasts of 2013-present from the mainstream
In lezak we trust

 

[Wazim Khan]

The University of Missouri is forecasting 16 named storms, 8 hurricanes and 4 major hurricanes.

https://weather.missouri.edu/gcc/UniversityofMissouri2025TropicalForecast.pdf

 

[IdaliaHelene]

The University of Missouri is forecasting 16 named storms, 8 hurricanes and 4 major hurricanes.

https://weather.missouri.edu/gcc/UniversityofMissouri2025TropicalForecast.pdf

dnrd

 

[Wazim Khan]

268Weather is forecasting 20 named storms, 10 hurricanes and 5 major hurricanes.

268Weather Forecasts a Potentially Super-Hyperactive 2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season

By Dale C. S. Destin – Published 16 April 2025 | Brace for another potentially active and busy hurricane season. According to the 2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast by 268Weather, the up…

268weather.wordpress.com

 

[Wazim Khan]

In recent years (2022 - 2024), 268Weather has been more accurate than Tropical Storm Risk and the University of Arizona, both of which are currently forecasting a near-normal 2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season.

 

[Wazim Khan]

StormGeo is forecasting 17 named storms, 8 hurricanes and 4 major hurricanes.

Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast 2025

StormGeo is anticipating a more active 2024 season in the Atlantic Basin and read about the factors that StormGeo's Hurricane and Long-Range Forecasters saw.

stormgeo.com

 

[IdaliaHelene]

In recent years (2022 - 2024), 268Weather has been more accurate than Tropical Storm Risk and the University of Arizona, both of which are currently forecasting a near-normal 2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season.


View attachment 39799

StormGeo is forecasting 17 named storms, 8 hurricanes and 4 major hurricanes.

Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast 2025

StormGeo is anticipating a more active 2024 season in the Atlantic Basin and read about the factors that StormGeo's Hurricane and Long-Range Forecasters saw.

stormgeo.com

View attachment 39801

Why aren’t they recognized by Cuckipedia though?

 

[Wazim Khan]

The Weather Channel is forecasting 19 named storms, 9 hurricanes and 4 major hurricanes.

https://weather.com/storms/hurricane/news/2025-04-16-hurricane-season-outlook-twc-april

 

[Atlantic]

I’m pretty sure the five-year average from 2020 to 2024 is exactly that!

 

[Atlantic]

From NOAA, note how much cooler the MDR is compared to what we remember from last year:

April 16th, 2024


April 16th, 2025

 

[IdaliaHelene]

From NOAA, note how much cooler the MDR is compared to what we remember from last year:

April 16th, 2024
View attachment 39837

April 16th, 2025
View attachment 39838

NVM the misleading all-blue graphs though

 

[IdaliaHelene]

@Atlantic MUH BULLISH
I assume this geezer predicts something like 9-4-1

Hurricane Season: Weather Channel is up: 19/9/4​

#33 Sat Apr 19, 2025 12:59 am

Chris, the Weather Channel's forecast for 2025 IS pretty eye-popping?! At the same time, let's consider their 2024 Season forecast accuracy for what it was... or wasn't LOL. I wouldn't call their prediction of 24 named storms in '24 as "a little over" considering last season ended with 18 named storms. Regardless, i'm more interested in their rationale for such a bullish 2025 season forecast

Muh bullish

 

[IdaliaHelene]

Yet another cuck2k coper

ballEdCategory 2

Re: Expert forecasts for 2025 North Atlantic Hurricane Season: Weather Channel is up: 19/9/4​

#35 Sat Apr 19, 2025 12:16 pm
As far as I know, TWC is all low paid mets in cubicles, a fewer better looking mets on TV and one PhD who is now the expert for winter, severe and hurricanes, who did specialize in tropical weather. It is either Dr. Knabb's forecast or a 'peer review' of other estimates.

I hope TWC hasn't gone the AccuWeather route of big numbers and hype headlines. The one thing, noted as a significant negative for storm numbers by CSU, sub-tropical waters warmer, (relative, of course, the tropics are still warmer) than tropical waters. This could be much closer to a normal season, although later development because of reduced Atlantic MDR development actually increases Caribbean and North American impact chances for the number of storms that do develop.

 

[Atlantic]

I found this online;

And for all of the Atlantic basin;

 

[Atlantic]

Here is the first-year La Nina seasons in the Atlantic, with the main track densities I can see:


Here is the same chart with the same interpretations, but with second-year La Nina seasons:

There appears to be less storms in second-year La Nina's then first-year La Nina. The dates I used goes back to 1990.

The source: https://coast.noaa.gov/hurricanes/#...sc2UsImlzU3Rvcm1MYWJlbHNWaXNpYmxlIjp0cnVlfQ==