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Severe Weather 2025

Looking through the end of the month, there isn't anything that is ringing any alarm bells for the SE proper (AL/MS/GA). With such an amplified subtropical ridge, all of the incoming troughs are getting sheared out and shunted to the north.

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Jason Mills said:
Looking through the end of the month, there isn't anything that is ringing any alarm bells for the SE proper (AL/MS/GA). With such an amplified subtropical ridge, all of the incoming troughs are getting sheared out and shunted to the north.

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I was talking to @UncleJuJu98 about that. Seems like the past few years ArkLaMiss into western KY/Western TN/Southeast Missouri has been the go to spot and not Dixie proper.
 
ColdFront said:
I was talking to @UncleJuJu98 about that. Seems like the past few years ArkLaMiss into western KY/Western TN/Southeast Missouri has been the go to spot and not Dixie proper.
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About time to hang up the coat on any significant threats here in Alabama until probably the fall/winter tornado season imo. Unless we get a rare may or early June event in Alabama lol.
 
UncleJuJu98 said:
About time to hang up the coat on any significant threats here in Alabama until probably the fall/winter tornado season imo. Unless we get a rare may or early June event in Alabama lol.
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After the back-to-back-to-back outbreaks in the Mid-South, and 3/15, I think I'm good for the year honestly.
 
UncleJuJu98 said:
About time to hang up the coat on any significant threats here in Alabama until probably the fall/winter tornado season imo. Unless we get a rare may of early June event in Alabama lol.
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I think that is a little bit premature (we've still got about two weeks left in April), but I do think the mean storm track is working against the risk of anything major.
 
Jason Mills said:
I think that is a little bit premature (we've still got about two weeks left in April), but I do think the mean storm track is working against the risk of anything major.
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Don’t think the upper south like mid south region is quiet done yet …. We had some our worst outbreaks early may. 2003 for example
 
UncleJuJu98 said:
About time to hang up the coat on any significant threats here in Alabama until probably the fall/winter tornado season imo. Unless we get a rare may or early June event in Alabama lol.
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We have not got to the famous date of April 27
Th just yet ….still little time for dixie region
 
tennessee storm chaser said:
Don’t think the upper south like mid south region is quiet done yet …. We had some our worst outbreaks early may. 2003 for example
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May 2003 was completely anomalous. What a pattern that was. I will say though, I don’t think ArkLaMiss/TN/Western KY will be done at the end of April. But I would agree with @UncleJuJu98 on Bama, I just haven’t seen anything long range pointing at any kind of tornado outbreak or significant severe weather through the end of April for them
 
I'm going thru categorical risks for the state of MS since 2000. I've found some very interesting data that backs what @tennessee storm chaser says about May.
 
Kds86z said:
We looking at a pattern favorable for supercells this weekend?
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Hard to tell at this point, but to be honest, supercells are possible in any severe weather event.
 
Kds86z said:
I’m bored in this pattern
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Look now. I'm just trying to rest and breathe before I'm up for 24 straight hours again. LOL!
 
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