Severe WX April 1-2 (overnight) Severe Weather Event

[tennessee storm chaser]

Area to keep eye on later be back se Arkansas for redevelopment of supper celluar type stuff riding northeast

 

[Maxis_s]

Oh cool, we're not even close to done. Observed 12z sounding in Shreveport.

 

[Kds86z]

Sure is quiet out of Arkansas far as injuries etc..

 

[tornado examiner]

We will likely see a moderate for tomorrow

 

[Maxis_s]

Wind shear is massively overperforming what models were showing and there is far less convection in Arkansas right now than what was forecasted. We're in for another long day I fear.

 

[Ozonelayer]

View attachment 38861
Oh cool, we're not even close to done. Observed 12z sounding in Shreveport.

If a discrete/semi-discrete storm takes advantage of that, then we might get another long tracked tornado.

 

[Kds86z]

 

[TheSuckZone]

 

[jiharris0220]

Broyles verification 101
I will admit that I was wrong, I thought this event would verify as moderate. Mainly because I thought the QLCS system wouldn’t produce as much as it did in the quad state region where the 0.30 area is highlighted.

 

[Western_KS_Wx]

This damage out of Lake City, Arkansas is extremely impressive. Extraordinary damage to forested areas, ground scouring, vehicles mangled and thrown hundreds of yards, multiple structures completely leveled. Very clearly a violent tornado, probably the most intense of the year so far.

 

[Kds86z]

I am tornado tuckered

 

[AJS]

This damage out of Lake City, Arkansas is extremely impressive. Extraordinary damage to forested areas, ground scouring, vehicles mangled and thrown hundreds of yards, multiple structures completely leveled. Very clearly a violent tornado, probably the most intense of the year so far.

That debarking in forested areas is legitimately absurd.

 

[DanLarsen34]

Okay. This video of the Lake City Tornado remind me a lot of both the 2011 Tuscaloosa Tornado and the 1999 Bridge Creek/Moore tornadoes. Just an incredibly violent tornado.

 

[tornado examiner]

I can see either of those tornadoes securing an EF4 rating if non of the structures are well built enough. And it’s Memphis of course. A notoriously conservative office.
We’ll see what happens.

 

[Lake Martin EF4]

Looking at first videos from Selmer, and wow. Extreme contextual damage, easy EF4 and definite EF5 candidate. Slabbed homes, debarked / denuded trees, ground scouring, granulated debris all appear evident.

Not a chance. Even if there wasn't an apparent lack of photographed slabbed homes, this is in the Memphis CWA, whose survey team famously missed likely EF5 damage from not one, but TWO different significant tornadoes (New Wren 2011 and Holly Springs 2015). In fact, I doubt they'll even go EF4.

But that's trivial right now.

 

[Kds86z]

That debarking in forested areas is legitimately absurd.

So violent. Arkansas the spot this year.

 

[MichelleH]

Before it really gets cranking again, what was the consensus? Keep today and tomorrow's threat in this thread or no? Personally, I don't think they need to be added to the weekend thread either, so should we have a thread just for today and tomorrow? Trying to determine what's less confusing and easier to look back on for history's sake.

Edit - In the words of Gilda Radner, "never mind."

 

[UncleJuJu98]

Hey guys, the threads have been changed. Today's threat through the 6th. Is on the other thread. @MichelleH we went ahead and changed it, we can change back if needed or do something else

 

[Maxis_s]

Okay. This video of the Lake City Tornado remind me a lot of both the 2011 Tuscaloosa Tornado and the 1999 Bridge Creek/Moore tornadoes. Just an incredibly violent tornado.

I'm not afraid to say that the Lake City tornado absolutely had EF5 intensity. I've only ever seen that level of motion in the more infamous F5/EF5 tornadoes.

 

[MichelleH]

Hey guys, the threads have been changed. Today's threat through the 6th. Is on the other thread. @MichelleH we went ahead and changed it, we can change back if needed or do something else

OK, cool.