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Archive March 18-20th, 2018 Severe Weather

As I suspected, the isolated cells that did fire further south are not able to get going. Convective blob to the north is inhibiting any real discrete development.
Except the cell near Walnut Grove developed South of the "blob" and has maintained itself after interaction. Oneonta cell as well.
 
My friend sent pictures of the damage at his house 3 mi SE of Moulton. Huge limbs from a large oak tree fell across power line to his house and on his truck parked outside
 
New storms are trying to form, hopefully they do not go and form tornadoes.
 
I will say, thus far, the HRRR seemed to do pretty well indicating the main area of concern.
 
Yeah, I think I remember some of the earlier HRRR runs kept a cap in place over some of the southern part of the threat area (but this was several hours ago and my memory is quite bad these days).
 
Except the cell near Walnut Grove developed South of the "blob" and has maintained itself after interaction. Oneonta cell as well.
I realize this. They are being absorbed into the said "blob" as we speak though. As I said, cells that fire in these type of situations tend either fire and never really take off, or get absorbed before they really get a chance too. I stand by my original statements.
 
I realize this. They are being absorbed into the said "blob" as we speak though. As I said, cells that fire in these type of situations tend either fire and never really take off, or get absorbed before they really get a chance too. I stand by my original statements.

The moderate likely won't verify but lets let the event end before we repeatedly post about how its a Forecasted Convective Amplification Deficiency.
 
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