Severe WX Severe threat 3/30-3/31

[lake.effect]

Cell SW of Memphis looks like it needs a TOR

 

[Kds86z]

View attachment 37876View attachment 37877View attachment 37878

Sad to see this .. and demolished mobile home sounds tornado

 

[Kds86z]

 

[Clancy]

LLJ starting to kick in across TN; wouldn't be surprised to see an uptick in tornadic activity soon.

 

[Kds86z]

why did those storms in Arkansas bite dust?

 

[treypops]

LLJ starting to kick in across TN; wouldn't be surprised to see an uptick in tornadic activity soon.
View attachment 37879

I'm not really seeing it. At least for the southernmost part of it.

 

[treypops]

why did those storms in Arkansas bite dust?

I think it's just too linear. Nothing discrete to take advantage of the atmosphere

 

[Kds86z]

 

[Clancy]

I'm not really seeing it. At least for the southernmost part of it.

10 kt increase over Tennessee in the last hour or so.

 

[Kds86z]

I think it's just too linear. Nothing discrete to take advantage of the atmosphere

Well. Tennessee is blowing up lol..

 

[Clancy]

OHX reports TOG northeast of Gorman, TN. Looks like it has since occluded. 2 additional TORs to the South and Southwest.

 

[Kds86z]

 

[JPWX]

Supercell storm headed into Tunica has a concerning look. Moving SE at 20mph.

 

[Clancy]

Supercell storm headed into Tunica has a concerning look. Moving SE at 20mph.

Also looks to have some big hail. Ping pong balls according to the SVR.

 

[treypops]

Also looks to have some big hail. Ping pong balls according to the SVR.

2 inch hail. And lots of lightning. But that is the primary severe threat for the Memphis metro.

 

[Sky_I565]

**Streamwise vorticity (around 400 m2/s2 0-1 km SRH per OHX VWP

 

[Kds86z]

@Clancy confirmation

 

[CheeselandSkies]

Watch coming for northern MS/northwest AL.

@JPWX
@cheestaysfly

Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 316

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www.spc.noaa.gov

 

[Clancy]

The storm south of Dickson certainly looks like the one to watch for the interim. Moving into south NSV Metro.

 

[MidTNWx]

The storm south of Dickson certainly looks like the one to watch for the interim. Moving into south NSV Metro.

And it’ll hit me head on in about 45 minutes if it holds together.