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Severe Weather 2025

I saw 2006 brought up a lot as an analog for this year. It's almost spooky how closely 2025 has mirrored 2006 thus far, with one big mid-MS Valley outbreak in mid-March, and now another coming up at the start of April (in fact, the same calendar day!).

Now I just have to hope the rest of it doesn't match up quite as well, with the back half of April through May being much quieter and poor for chasing.
 
CheeselandSkies said:
I saw 2006 brought up a lot as an analog for this year. It's almost spooky how closely 2025 has mirrored 2006 thus far, with one big mid-MS Valley outbreak in mid-March, and now another coming up at the start of April (in fact, the same calendar day!).

Now I just have to hope the rest of it doesn't match up quite as well, with the back half of April through May being much quieter and poor for chasing.
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The famous 60 percent t tornado probs
 
I think this is where I can post this.

I do believe the Saturday Slight Risk (3-/29-3/20) was warranted. There is being reported a fatality in eastern Oklahoma from last night as a tree fell onto a camper. In Baxter Springs, KS the measured 85 MPH high winds caused damage to multiple structures, including roofs being removed and some collapsed walls. There are/were numerous trees down and power lines in the community. The Joplin Regional Airport measured a wind gust of 79 MPH.
 
Todd said:
I think this is where I can post this.

I do believe the Saturday Slight Risk (3-/29-3/20) was warranted. There is being reported a fatality in eastern Oklahoma from last night as a tree fell onto a camper. In Baxter Springs, KS the measured 85 MPH high winds caused damage to multiple structures, including roofs being removed and some collapsed walls. There are/were numerous trees down and power lines in the community. The Joplin Regional Airport measured a wind gust of 79 MPH.
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Yes, some people forget tornadoes aren't the only hazard SPC forecasts for. And they only had a small 5% area out yesterday, which was conditional on both storm initiation (which did happen) and storm mode remaining cooperative after the low-level shear strengthened (which it did not).
 
Todd said:
I think this is where I can post this.

I do believe the Saturday Slight Risk (3-/29-3/20) was warranted. There is being reported a fatality in eastern Oklahoma from last night as a tree fell onto a camper. In Baxter Springs, KS the measured 85 MPH high winds caused damage to multiple structures, including roofs being removed and some collapsed walls. There are/were numerous trees down and power lines in the community. The Joplin Regional Airport measured a wind gust of 79 MPH.
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Thanks for this report @Todd
 
UncleJuJu98 said:
Something I'm watching that's not on people's radar, is 6-7 days from now the euro shows a bad setup for Alabama and Mississippi. Next 7 days are very very busy
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Considering the highs for the end of the week for many locations in Mississippi and Alabama will be in the mid to upper 80s, I’m not surprised with a potential risk next weekend.
 
Looking like the active stretch will continue. Plenty of practice for my model LOL I'm nervously just waiting for all hell to break lose in one of these outbreaks. The 14-15 was very bad, but I have a sinking feeling we may see worse than that this season. Maybe not!
 
notsoencrypted said:
I do not want a marginal risk on Tuesday, please. I know that's low overall, but I do not like the thought of power outages while working the polls. Go away, risk. Away with you. And this is not a request for you to become higher risk as the day comes closer. Less risk, please.
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I think it's mainly for elevated hailers with the warm front Tuesday-Wednesday overnight.
 
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