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Current Tropical Systems Erin
Severe WX Severe threat 3/30-3/31
- Thread starter Bulkshear
- Start date
Id agree, I'm expecting a day 1 moderate as well somewhere in that vicinity.
Kds86z
Member
Dang that shot is like 3-15 ..
Kds86z
Member
3/14*** MO/AR
Clancy
Member
Okay lemme try this again, in the right thread this time!
While not quite as potent-looking as it was yesterday for Alabama, 18Z HRRR still depicts a QLCS which will be nothing to scoff at moving through the morning hours on Monday. Pretty substantial damaging wind threat with the risk for embedded tornadoes, if this were to verify. TN and MS (and up into the Ozarks and Mid-to-Upper MSV) may see more supercellular activity during the late evening and early morning hours, before things look to potentially transition to a more linear appearance.
While not quite as potent-looking as it was yesterday for Alabama, 18Z HRRR still depicts a QLCS which will be nothing to scoff at moving through the morning hours on Monday. Pretty substantial damaging wind threat with the risk for embedded tornadoes, if this were to verify. TN and MS (and up into the Ozarks and Mid-to-Upper MSV) may see more supercellular activity during the late evening and early morning hours, before things look to potentially transition to a more linear appearance.
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CheeselandSkies
Member
18Z HRRR really lights up western KY with supercells after dark tomorrow evening, and they keep going for a good 2-3 hours before congealing.
AJS
Member
Are they showing them to be discrete supercells or semi discrete?
CheeselandSkies
Member
OhOkayThen
Member
Paducah publicly throwing out "strong/long-tracked tornado" wording for tomorrow.
Clancy
Member
15Z SREF shows an at least somewhat conducive environment for tornadoes Sunday morning into the afternoon across the Southeast, and some pretty strong HREF 24-hour values for tornado risk across the MSV and TNV. Also, SREF shows the possibility for severe convection with the pulse/multicell activity across Eastern MS, most of AL and northern GA Sunday afternoon, before the actual activity moves in overnight into Monday.
AJS
Member
Let’s hope those two ahead of the cluster don’t take that one path.
Mesocale Models are really honing in on south Mississippi and South Alabama having a elevated severe threat Monday* morning.
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Kds86z
Member
Wait so @UncleJuJu98 the event is starting early? Oh
My bad, Monday morning!
SilentShadow87
Member
If that verifies then a D1 MDT would be totally justified.
Kds86z
Member
Yeah, IF..
UpperLevelLOL
Member
Hmmm, is tonight’s threat in OK uptrending a bit? Seems like the hail threat has expanded a bit at least
Kds86z
Member
