US_Highway15
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Yeah not gonna lie I was kind of expecting more out of Portland, not just rain.Well today kind of disappointed me. I am lonesome for naders.Until next time…
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Severe Weather 2025
- Thread starter KevinH
- Start date
Kds86z
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Same… not even a dang severe warning
KevinH
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- West Central GA
Very low TOR probs on the SVR WW they issuedWell today kind of disappointed me. I am lonesome for naders.
but at least they got a couple of SWS right?
Anti Marine Layer
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- Lake Forest, CA
Wow, this happened in Indiana with one of the tornadoes.
Watch as father, son narrowly rescue dog before tornado rips through yard, destroys kennel
Video captured the close call of a father and son who rescued their dog moments before a tornado ripped through their backyard in Gary, Indiana.
www.usatoday.com
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I know this is voodoo land. But April 4-8th on the EURO is filthy. This upcoming pattern looks dangerous.
US_Highway15
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I wasn't going to say anything until we got through the weekend, but yeah April 4th looks very interesting. Areas of interest is around southern Iowa, western llinois/northern Missouri area, as well as a secondary setup around east central Oklahoma, western Missouri and southeastern Kansas. Both areas of interest look very favorable for an outbreak of some kind.
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I noticed that too that CSU is picking up something 2nd and 3rd
KevinH
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US_Highway15
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I got you for April 4th.
Upper 60's dewpoint look to spread over IA/IL/MO, as well as OK/KS/MO, with winds between 70-80 knots about 500 mb (18,000 ft) around the IA/IL/MO area. Impressive winds around 850 mb in both areas of interest as well.
Mix that with CAPE values around 3000-3500 jkg around IA/IL/MO and SCP values between 5-8, and you got a potent setup.
Figured I would include the 0-3km EHI as well. Looks to be a bit more impressive around OK/KS/MO:
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- Columbus, OH
Holy mother of longwave trough from the 12z Euro for 4/2-4/3 timeframe.
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Funny enough, the same areas impacted this Sunday maybe impacted again 2-3 days later by a potentially impactful severe event and then again in 2-3 days. Active is the word I'll use lol.
KCweatherboy
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- Kansas City, Missouri
Yeah the 12z Euro would have a pretty potent severe setup on 4/2, 4/3, and 4/4. The 12z EPS is also supportive of a similarly evolving pattern on those days.
The majority of the GFS ensemble members are lit up like a Christmas tree for April 2nd. This could get real ugly.
CheeselandSkies
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12Z operational is a bit different and seems to have the main trough hanging back until a couple of days later. A bit surprising since it usually one of the more (often excessively) progressive models. Either way, definite signal for something in the mid to latter part of next week.
You don't see a tornado warning right on the Rio Grande everyday.
KevinH
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Wow smh
warneagle
Member
I wonder if they make the tornado go through customs. hopefully it remembered to bring its passport.
"Hey now, those roof shingles are contraband, you gotta leave those here."
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I made a quick mention about that in my Patreon post last night. CPC already has a Moderate Risk for Heavy Precipitation for that timeframe.
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Really need to watch that 4/2 system, looks like moisture could be abundant and that type of jet coming ashore on the Euro/AIFS/EPS could lead to a large event. I'd favor areas in the Midwest and Mid South for now.
