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Severe WX Severe Weather Threats 1/21-1/22 2017 (Saturday - Sunday)

Darklordsuperstorm said:
0z nam ramps up instability and stp all the way to the I-20 corridor during the predawn hours Sunday.
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nam_2017012100_024_33.95--91.96.png


This is for Arkansas on Sunday 00Z
 
Darklordsuperstorm said:
0z nam ramps up instability and stp all the way to the I-20 corridor during the predawn hours Sunday.
Click to expand...
I am very concerned for the northern half of Al tomorrow evening....and will be until I see further evidence that the air mass will not recover or there will storms along the coast. the instability values are way high for Jan.
 
GTWXAlum said:
Wow, no kidding! If this were to verify, Alabama, Georgia, and western Florida panhandle are all in play overnight Saturday into Sunday morning (maybe except far NE Georgia)
Click to expand...
li of -7 for BHM with backing surface winds several hours tomorrow night. I know the Nam has been discounted because it shows the wave staying open and not closing....but we are getting into the nam's timeframe.
 
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Richardjacks said:
I am very concerned for the northern half of Al tomorrow evening....and will be until I see further evidence that the air mass will not recover or there will storms along the coast. the instability values are way high for Jan.
Click to expand...

Thank you for that update. Someone needs to let HUN know this, because they don't seem very concerned. I'm really worried people are going to be taken off guard.
 
This is from the 12k Nam, but it looks like it has taken the STP parameter fairly higher and slightly further north for Saturday night now. Of coarse the highest threat being across the south.
ANeW39Z.gif
 
00z NAM at 006z Sunday. Cannot ignore these if the NAM is on target. Look at those low level wind fields....

Vth6s8Y.jpg


72h3ZjH.jpg
 
Timhsv said:
00z NAM at 006z Sunday. Cannot ignore these if the NAM is on target. Look at those low level wind fields....

Vth6s8Y.jpg


72h3ZjH.jpg
Click to expand...

Jesus H! Did you have to drop the pin so close to me? Kidding of course but damn!


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 
TornadoFan said:
Still new to reading these. Mind telling me what we're looking at?
Click to expand...


These are forecasted atmospheric soundings located at the points on the map at the right, for midnight Saturday night. They display the NAM's model output at that time throughout the atmosphere. Just a very basic description
 
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