Severe WX March 3rd-5th 2025 Severe Weather Threat

[tornado examiner]

I mean we're barely even starting to move into the conventional season, seems pretty early to write it all off lol. We're looking at least 3 potential events in the next couple weeks, even if it looks like this one will probably be an underperformer.

There could be room to use the whole “first big event sets the tone for the rest of the season” but…idk bout that yet.

 

[ColdFront]

There could be room to use the whole “first big event sets the tone for the rest of the season” but…idk bout that yet.

The gambler’s fallacy in action

 

[Clancy]

Outside of tornadoes, the strength of this squall line is pretty impressive considering the really marginal thermodynamics.

 

[CheeselandSkies]

There could be room to use the whole “first big event sets the tone for the rest of the season” but…idk bout that yet.

By that token, 2004 had a nearly-forgotten High Risk event 21 years ago to this day, March 4th. Was basically a giant QLCS with some embedded tornadoes (a few strong, but entirely forgettable from a chaser standpoint). Had no bearing on how that May played out.

April 2011's first "big event" was the huge QLCS wind event on the 4th.

 

[tornado examiner]

The gambler’s fallacy in action

I've literally never heard about that one before.

 

[RollTide18]

If nothing else, the wind is ripping today, power outages already in Alabama

 

[MoonBaby]

If nothing else, the wind is ripping today, power outages already in Alabama

Our power goes out if someone just coughs at it, so I’m dreading when the winds get really bad.

 

[tornado examiner]

Anyways watch this afternoon suddenly pop off out of nowhere. And I hope I'm not somehow willing that in existence like I predicted rollingfork.
Still got many hours left for…stuff to happen.

 

[Kds86z]

Got our first warning for MS...

 

[Cyclonic Paracosm]

MS cell

 

[JPWX]

Apparently

 

[MoonBaby]

Side note- my neighbors have a bouncy house inflated right now. On a weekday. Not sure why…
Will update if it flies away.

 

[Clancy]

Side note- my neighbors have a bouncy house inflated right now. On a weekday. Not sure why…
Will update if it flies away.

Maybe it'll be a new contender for the State Bird of Alabama.

 

[Ledian]

Some nasty winds between Morganza and Woodville

Also starting to thunder here now

 

[tornado examiner]

Maybe they’ll confuse it for a Russian spy drone.

 

[Justin Hindman]

Maybe they’ll confuse it for a Russian spy drone.

I was thinking the Chinese ballon

 

[tornado examiner]

I was thinking the Chinese ballon

Or the new fangled secret drones that somehow manage to look exactly like commercial airliners

 

[MoonBaby]

Maybe it'll be a new contender for the State Bird of Alabama.

THEY ARE NOW LETTING THEIR KIDS ON SAID BOUNCY HOUSE

 

[MichelleH]

THEY ARE NOW LETTING THEIR KIDS ON SAID BOUNCY HOUSE

Your neighbors not very bright?

 

[Ledian]

THEY ARE NOW LETTING THEIR KIDS ON SAID BOUNCY HOUSE

Oh gosh...someone wanna tell 'em?