I will check out 1984 rq.
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2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season
- Thread starter Atlantic
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Wazim Khan
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- Trinidad and Tobago
Okay, I can see 1984 somewhat for most of the signals but not all:
The U.S. Gulf Coast had next to no landfalls other that Tropical Depression Seventeen.
It had Bahama landfalls, it also had some BoC storms like the precip anomalies are predicting later this year.
It also had a lot of subtropics activity like WxCenterNazrio is thinking may happen this season. He also is thinking of East coast impacts too.
The U.S. Gulf Coast had next to no landfalls other that Tropical Depression Seventeen.
It had Bahama landfalls, it also had some BoC storms like the precip anomalies are predicting later this year.
It also had a lot of subtropics activity like WxCenterNazrio is thinking may happen this season. He also is thinking of East coast impacts too.
Wazim Khan
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- Messages
- 109
- Location
- Trinidad and Tobago
Chances of U.S. East coast landfalls and near-normal to below-normal, but that doesn't mean a landfall won't occur there.
I'm going to try to find more analog years for this year, @Wazim Khan
Wazim Khan
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- Location
- Trinidad and Tobago
Ok, but I doubt that you'll find any close to 2017 and 1984 since they're the best analogs.
How about 2005? It might be too far in that direction.
2005 had all of the forecasted areas impacted.
I circled them in black:
2005 also had a bunch of subtropics activity too, like we are expecting this season as of now.
IdaliaHelene
Member
JFL MY NUMEROLOGY HAD THE SAME TRACKSThe entire Gulf coast of the U.S. has a higher than normal chance for landfalls this year.
2025 Hurricane Season | Forecast reveals higher than average chance of direct impact in this region
2025 Hurricane Season | What areas are at the greatest risk of seeing a landfalling tropical system in 2025?www.wesh.com
View attachment 34247
View attachment 34248
So far it’s working well, only thing it underestimated Alfred intensity in Aussie land
IdaliaHelene
Member
Jfl there’s literally a Dianalite on my numerology
Wazim Khan
Member
- Messages
- 109
- Location
- Trinidad and Tobago
The CanSIPS is no longer forecasting a Modoki El Niño and is now forecasting a warm ENSO-Neutral during the peak of the 2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season (August to October 2025). It's slowly but surely trending cooler.
Wazim Khan
Member
- Messages
- 109
- Location
- Trinidad and Tobago
2005 is not an analog because the ENSO pattern doesn't fit but we will see similar tracks to some of the Tropical Cyclones observed in 2005.
IdaliaHelene
Member
what's this muh El Niño costero tism mets are yapping about on WXtwitter?
Wazim Khan
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- 109
- Location
- Trinidad and Tobago
It's basically above-normal SSTs in the Eastern Equatorial Pacific.
IdaliaHelene
Member
Wazim Khan
Member
- Messages
- 109
- Location
- Trinidad and Tobago
No, SSTs are still below-normal in the Niño 3.4 region. The El Niño Costero is above-normal SSTs in the Niño 1+2 region.
IdaliaHelene
Member
I made my first landfall forecast on November 25th, 2024 and I notice something similar to the recently released LRC forecast:
My forecast made for the Gulf Coast on November 25th, 2024:
The New 2025 LRC forecast released on February 28th, 2025:
Notice how similar my November 2024 forecast was and also a note that at the time I made my forecast that the new LRC cycle was just getting started.
My forecast made for the Gulf Coast on November 25th, 2024:
The New 2025 LRC forecast released on February 28th, 2025:
Notice how similar my November 2024 forecast was and also a note that at the time I made my forecast that the new LRC cycle was just getting started.
Wazim Khan
Member
- Messages
- 109
- Location
- Trinidad and Tobago
It's definitely going to be "open season" in the Gulf of Mexico (Gulf of America in the U.S.).
IdaliaHelene
Member
I have humberto hitting the florida gulf coast in numerology
barry will hit first