Severe Weather Threat 5/25-5/26, 2024

[hurricaneguy]

West TN and Arkansas starting to show small storms bubbling. Could be our next area of focus for single cell storms.

 

[jiharris0220]

New development of supercells in Arkansas, environment is as extreme as it can get. It’s definitely not the time to let your guard down.

 

[MMWX]

West TN and Arkansas starting to show small storms bubbling. Could be our next area of focus for single cell storms.

This is what the southern part of the 10% hatched was issued for.

Starting to see some (broad) rotation already over Calico Rock, Arkansas

 

[Tomcats Forever!]

New development of supercells in Arkansas, environment is as extreme as it can get. It’s definitely not the time to let your guard down.
View attachment 28215

Uhh... That an STP of over 20?

 

[jiharris0220]

Uhh... That an STP of over 20?

Yes, however the good news is this round of storms is forecasted to quickly become linear, and so these cells have a limited amount of time to root and take advantage.

 

[Shakespeare 2016]

Ugh…8 dead is already too much.

Unfortunately the tornadoes from last night killed like 18 or 19 people. Really sad.

 

[MMWX]

Lots of TN was included in the 15% hatched for what is developing in Arkansas, not what is going on in Kentucky at the moment.

TN/MS threat will be discrete supercells that may eventually turn into a QLCS well into the overnight hours.

 

[Kds86z]

Unfortunately the tornadoes from last night killed like 18 or 19 people. Really sad.

I know. I meant Arkansas by itself..

 

[tennessee storm chaser]

Uhh... That an STP of over 20?

Was just fixing point that out

 

[tennessee storm chaser]

Lots of TN was included in the 15% hatched for what is developing in Arkansas, not what is going on in Kentucky at the moment.

TN/MS threat will be discrete supercells that may eventually turn into a QLCS well into the overnight hours.

We got ways to go linear yet

 

[cg9450]

Chris Hall just sat through a tornado per Ryan Hall stream

 

[Tomcats Forever!]

Was just fixing point that out

I mean... There wasn't anything on that map to show what it was... We just set the damned STP record last night, too

 

[MMWX]

We got ways to go linear yet

I agree, still a ways to go before it enters into the prime environment too.

 

[Maxis_s]

New development of supercells in Arkansas, environment is as extreme as it can get. It’s definitely not the time to let your guard down.
View attachment 28215

Uhh... That an STP of over 20?

Yes, however the good news is this round of storms is forecasted to quickly become linear, and so these cells have a limited amount of time to root and take advantage.

Was just fixing point that out

That's VTP, not STP. VTP maxes out visually at 20 on mesoanalysis, STP maxes out visually at 12. Still an incredible parameter space.

 

[tornado examiner]

Those beans in arkansas better not pull a quad state supercell on us…

 

[MidTNWx]

Watching that cell near Bald Knob AR like a hawk.

 

[Tomcats Forever!]

That's VTP, not STP. VTP maxes out visually at 20 on mesoanalysis, STP maxes out visually at 12. Still an incredible parameter space.

Well, like I said, nothing on the chart to indicate what is was

 

[Maxis_s]

Well, like I said, nothing on the chart to indicate what is was

No worries, that's why I mentioned what it was.

 

[NorthBamaWX]

 

[NorthBamaWX]