Severe Weather Threat 4/27-4/28, 2024 - (Saturday, Sunday)

[Clancy]

New Tornado Watch forthcoming for OK.

 

[tennessee storm chaser]

I will say though, that if we go too many more years without somewhere in the United States having those kind of violent swarm outbreaks, then we will have to consider something else at work other than larger natural cyclical variation. But based on previous tornado outbreak history in the United States, we're too soon removed from our previous historic violent day to try to draw any assumptions just yet. Since the mid 1800s, the U.S, typically averages a 5/4/2003 or 2/5/2008 type violent day (five or more EF4+ rated tornadoes in a day from a single synoptic system) once every 9-13 years. There have been occasional periods where they have happened more frequently (2003-2008-2011 for example), but never beyond 13 years, not since the mid/late 1800s at least. If we continue to avoid days of that caliber for another few/several years, we'll have to start to consider things outside of cyclical patterns.

Could warming of the climate actually be an issue …?

 

[Clancy]

New TOR for cell north of Independence, KS.

 

[MichelleH]

We have a no jerk rule here in case you're not aware.

Yep. Try me. If you make comments that make members uncomfortable, guess what?

 

[Clancy]

Two cells entering KS with strong rotation evident.

 

[Clancy]

Fresh TOR south of the northernmost troublemaker on that TX QLCS.

 

[Clancy]

This storm exhibiting rotation, including BWER.

 

[Mike S]

Please stop quoting Lake Effect's post. I'm mobile and can't keep up hiding the posts.

 

[MichelleH]

The heck did I just come back to?

Nothing that matters. Back to the weather.

 

[Clancy]

Something about the KS state line today, it feels like.

 

[Clancy]

TOR on the Dexter storm.

 

[Clancy]

Ponca City meso going ham right now.

 

[Maxis_s]

Storm near Kaw City looks interesting. Could produce something, although it's been trying for a while.

 

[cincywx]

curious as to what impact these maturing cells north of dallas will have. they are moving to the north.

 

[TH2002]

Please stop quoting Lake Effect's post. I'm mobile and can't keep up hiding the posts.

Yep. Try me. If you make comments that make members uncomfortable, guess what?

I would like to apologize for the way I've contributed to this. I have a tendency to disengage my brain cells when I'm behind a keyboard, and still need to work harder on that.

Let's move on.

 

[Clancy]

Something to note. The dryline is still back to the west, behind the QLCS. There's a SVR-warned cell near Woodward, so evidently there's still room and energy even behind all this stuff.

 

[TornadoFan]

Something to note. The dryline is still back to the west, behind the QLCS. There's a SVR-warned cell near Woodward, so evidently there's still room and energy even behind all this stuff.
View attachment 25925

Wouldn't the dryline be retreating more around this time?

 

[Shakespeare 2016]

I would like to apologize for the way I've contributed to this. I have a tendency to disengage my brain cells when I'm behind a keyboard, and still need to work harder on that.

Let's move on.

Yeah, me too. Sorry to everyone.

 

[JBishopwx]

I would like to apologize for the way I've contributed to this. I have a tendency to disengage my brain cells when I'm behind a keyboard, and still need to work harder on that.

Let's move on.

Same.

 

[Clancy]

Wouldn't the dryline be retreating more around this time?

Hasn't seemed to do much of anything for the last several hours, though I believe you're correct.