Severe Weather Threat 3/13-3/15/2024

[Clancy]

Training. Little Rock in for a long evening.
View attachment 24371

Also, side note, but: AR needs more radar sites!

 

[Clancy]

New MD: All hazards still possible in AR for the next couple hours.

Mesoscale Discussion 0250
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0956 PM CDT Thu Mar 14 2024

Areas affected...Far Southeast Oklahoma...Far Northeast
Texas...Arkansas

Concerning...Tornado Watch 45...

Valid 150256Z - 150500Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 45 continues.

SUMMARY...A severe threat will continue over the next few hours from
far northeast Texas northeastward into central Arkansas.

DISCUSSION...The latest mosaic radar imagery shows a broken line of
strong to severe storms located across east-central Arkansas, with
scattered more discrete cells from western Arkansas southward into
the Ark-La-Tex. New convection appears likely to develop to the
south of the ongoing storms across south-central Arkansas late this
evening. In addition to moderate instability, 0-6 km shear in that
areas is estimated to be near 50 knots according to the RAP. This
will support continued severe storm development over the next couple
of hours. Large hail and isolated wind damage will be possible with
supercells. A locally greater wind-damage threat will possible ahead
of short bowing line segments. In addition, low-level shear has
increased across the region due to a strengthening jet near 850 mb.
For this reason, a brief tornado still may occur.

..Broyles.. 03/15/2024

Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 250

Severe weather, tornado, thunderstorm, fire weather, storm report, tornado watch, severe thunderstorm watch, mesoscale discussion, convective outlook products from the Storm Prediction Center.

www.spc.noaa.gov

 

[Clancy]

This storm could drop soon.

 

[JPWX]

Storm passing north of Mount Ida is tightening up.

Clancy beat me to it.

 

[Clancy]

Storm passing north of Mount Ida is tightening up.

Clancy beat me to it.

Going to be a pain to tell if it's down with that radar beam height, but it sure looks nasty.

 

[WesL]

Damage from Hot Springs Village via Brian Emfinger.

 

[JPWX]

Going to be a pain to tell if it's down with that radar beam height, but it sure looks nasty.

It has a BTI of 4.8

 

[Clancy]

Down to SVR, but it looks to have just completed a meso handoff.

 

[WesL]

New drone footage from near Maumelle, AR.

 

[OHWX97]

Another view of the monster tornado in Logan County, OH earlier.

 

[andyhb]

UPDATE: Fatalities confirmed in Logan County; Storm-related damage, injuries reported

A mass casualty incident has been reported in Logan County and storm-related damage has been reported across several counties.

www.whio.com

Fatalities confirmed in Logan Co. OH, this was the Indian Lake tornado.

 

[buckeye05]

Geez, looks like I slept through the worst IN/OH event since Memorial Day 2019. Awful to hear there’s been fatalities. That region seems to be getting hit harder more frequently, and unfortunately, usually when a significant event isn’t expected.

 

[TH2002]

Ohio death toll is at two so far, both at the Geiger Mobile Home Park in Lakeview.

 

[cheestaysfly]

Nervous about these storms rolling into NW Alabama, anyone keeping an eye on them?

 

[JBishopwx]

Tor possible SVR for the Tupelo area. No reports so far

 

[JBishopwx]

 

[JBishopwx]

Tornado Waring now for Monroe County, SE of @JPWX

 

[Bama Ravens]

Tornado warning for Lamar County, AL.

 

[Avon]

Seems like Spc underestimated how strong this event was going to be especially for the IN/OH region. Should have at least been an enhanced or possibly a moderate cat. risk area.

 

[atrainguy]