Severe Weather Threat - June 17th-18th, 2023

[CheeselandSkies]

10% hatched added for the last D1.
View attachment 20723

Good call @JPWX

 

[UncleJuJu98]

That is a tight, tight low-level couplet due north of KDGX.

Yeah looks like it's about to drop.

 

[OHWX97]

There's a possible debris signature north of Strong, AR. Not a very deep CC drop but it matches up with the velocity couplet.

 

[CheeselandSkies]

Generally when you can make out clear couplets/hooks less than 300' AGL, it's not good.

 

[JPWX]

Good call @JPWX

Thank you! Hope we can avoid any more tornadoes in Monroe County MS, but with the luck I've had this year, I'm not too sure.

 

[CheeselandSkies]

There's a possible debris signature north of Strong, AR. Not a very deep CC drop but it matches up with the velocity couplet.

If that is a tornado, it's lofting debris to 10,000' given how far that is from any radar.

 

[JayF]

That tornado north of the radar is clear as day.

 

[Clancy]

Lena storm tightening up now.

 

[Clancy]

Tornado just north of DGX now confirmed.

 

[CheeselandSkies]

The storm speed of the Brandon cell went from 50 MPH, to 20 MPH with the next warning statement???

 

[UncleJuJu98]

Tornado just north of DGX now confirmed.

Mesoscale update for that cell and the adjacent one.

**Strong tornado possible***

 

[TH2002]

There's a possible debris signature north of Strong, AR. Not a very deep CC drop but it matches up with the velocity couplet.

Good catch. I think that’s a legit debris signature since the CC drop is moving SE with the couplet.

 

[OHWX97]

If that is a tornado, it's lofting debris to 10,000' given how far that is from any radar.

I'm pretty confident that's debris signature now. Not good...

 

[Timhsv]

Mesoscale update for that cell and the adjacent one.

**Strong tornado possible***

VTP near the Columbus radar is near 12 now. Awaiting tornadogenesis

 

[UncleJuJu98]

VTP near the Columbus radar is near 12 now. Awaiting tornadogenesis

Yeah may get nasty if one truly gets going and has some separation. Nocturnal jet is picking up some now that the sun is down.

 

[buckeye05]

The cluttered storm mode may be keeping a bit of a lid on things, at least momentarily. If one storm goes dominant and has room to breathe, this will get ugly.

 

[warneagle]

whoa

 

[Clancy]

New Tornado Watch forthcoming.

 

[UncleJuJu98]

The mesoscale on that supercell just northeast of Jackson is becoming really impressive. It's the one highlighted by the NWS... Watch out.

Looks like a bit of a merger here in a second so it may take a minute to recoup.

 

[atrainguy]

Looks like this warning just got updated to observed status.