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All of them are saying guaranteed supercells also.SPC maintains slight risk for Monday , still don’t think winds are backed enough for a few discrete cells out ahead of the trough . Intense qlcs looks more favorable to me
Plus mosier broyles get tad over zealous … still seeing a qlcs my eyesThe forecast hodographs are nasty in that area. Fortunately right now mode looks to be a QLCS so long-track violent tornadoes do not appear likely, but with shear like this even a QLCS could certainly be capable of producing several strong tornadoes. SPC's latest discussion also does hint at the possibility of quasi-discrete supercellular elements forming out of the line; such as what happened in the early morning of November 6, 2005 resulting in the deadly Evansville, IN F3. Strong low-level shear can do weird things sometimes.
First observed warning.