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Severe WX Severe Weather Threat - December 8th-10th, 2023

JBishopwx

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Wait when was it fixed?!

I need to test lol
 

JayF

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Reed is beast. His hype comes from his motto never stop chasing and to dominate. It’s his life job and his motivation gets him on tornadoes that no one else is on and I enjoy watching his live streams and high definition videos. I wish I was in his seat many times LOL. Hope to see you out there soon. This could be an active event for MS!
It's Saturday and gas is cheapest its been in a while. You should make the trip.
 

KevinH

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Man thats some skinny CAPE
billy mayes GIF
 

Clancy

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Last few runs of the GFS (above) and Euro (below) have the trough a good bit more funkified than the last day or two, with the parent low pressure saying sayonara and lifting up out of CONUS. Would probably emphasize more of a squall line situation, though the threat for QLCS tornadoes would definitely still be there (sounding attached from West Alabama)
500wh.conus (1).png500wh.conus (2).png
500wh.conus (3).png500wh.conus (4).png
gfs_2023120612_084_33.75--87.75.png
 
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Last few runs of the GFS (above) and Euro (below) have the trough a good bit more funkified than the last day or two, with the parent low pressure saying sayonara and lifting up out of CONUS. Would probably emphasize more of a squall line situation, though the threat for QLCS tornadoes would definitely still be there (sounding attached from West Alabama)
View attachment 22294View attachment 22295
View attachment 22296View attachment 22297
View attachment 22299

Yeah, the 00Z Tuesday (Monday evening CDT) run had a much more favorable neutral to slightly negative tilt. This is trending to what winter weenies on another board would refer to as a "strung-out POS" which if it holds will limit its ceiling for both severe and winter wx impacts.
 
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