Severe Weather Threat 3/7-3/9/2024

[wx_guy]

Here's the full observed sounding from LIX (Slidell Louisiana) at 18z. It's pretty crazy. STP is essentially EF4+ range. Hodograph is super curved. Yeah let's hope nothing is able to tap into that.

 

[wx_guy]

Storm-Net's AI model for 3-hour Tornado Probabilities are getting quite elevated near the MS Gulf Coast. Concerning, given the sounding near Slidell shown.




EDIT: A closeup -

 

[UncleJuJu98]

Would sure be nice if the radar would work for the storm southwest of new orleans

 

[CheeselandSkies]

Would sure be nice if the radar would work for the storm southwest of new orleans

Radarscope actually selects "KHDC Hammond" now instead of "KLIX NOLA/Slidell." That's progress, however unfortunately there's still no actual data coming from the radar.

 

[CheeselandSkies]

Here's the full observed sounding from LIX (Slidell Louisiana) at 18z. It's pretty crazy. STP is essentially EF4+ range. Hodograph is super curved. Yeah let's hope nothing is able to tap into that.


View attachment 24152

I wonder, once the radar is operational in Hammond, are they going to start doing the balloon launches from there as well to keep them consistent with the VWPs?

 

[UncleJuJu98]

Interesting.

 

[South AL Wx]

I wonder, once the radar is operational in Hammond, are they going to start doing the balloon launches from there as well to keep them consistent with the VWPs?

I talked to a met from LIX a while back, and he said that the upper air site will remain where it currently is.

 

[Clancy]

CAMs generally locking in a coastally-confined threat for tomorrow. Could be conducive for supercells in Middle Georgia down into the Coastal Plain.

 

[UncleJuJu98]

Cell near Hattiesburg is real interesting

And the cell to its west

 

[UncleJuJu98]

Inflow is starting to get real good southwest of Hattiesburg. May have your first tornado warning soon.

*Yeah a tornado warning is needed asap imo

 

[UncleJuJu98]

Boom!

 

[Clancy]

Hard to know for sure but yeah, good call for them to issue a TOR.

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Jackson MS
409 PM CST Fri Mar 8 2024

The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
Southeastern Marion County in south central Mississippi...
Central Lamar County in southeastern Mississippi...

* Until 515 PM CST.

* At 409 PM CST, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located over Pine Burr, or 11 miles southeast of Columbia,
moving east at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed.
Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree
damage is likely.

* This dangerous storm will be near...
Baxterville and Pine Burr around 415 PM CST.
Purvis and Pine Ridge around 425 PM CST.
Hattiesburg around 430 PM CST.
Oak Grove around 435 PM CST.
West Hattiesburg around 445 PM CST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3105 8977 3115 8979 3135 8935 3110 8935
TIME...MOT...LOC 2209Z 251DEG 34KT 3110 8972

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN

 

[Clancy]

Circulation just got a lot tighter.

 

[andyhb]

I swear as soon at these things move out of the marine layer in S/SE LA, things start going south in a hurry.

 

[Clancy]

Looks as though it could drop at any moment.

 

[UncleJuJu98]

Circulation just got a lot tighter.
View attachment 24159

The inflow is getting pretty impressive

 

[UncleJuJu98]

Wondering if it's gunna try and wrap up some?

 

[Clancy]

Suspect the rotation may be a bit above ground, hopefully it'll stay that way as it moves east-northeastward into less favorable conditions.

 

[Clancy]

Wind damage city on both of these storms, and definitely the possibility for a spinup on that eastern one.

 

[CheeselandSkies]

Wind damage city on both of these storms, and definitely the possibility for a spinup on that eastern one.
View attachment 24164

Oh ****, much stronger rotation on the eastern storm and no warning of any kind on it.