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Winter 2018-2019

Kory

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GFS and ensembles drop the hammer with the cold. Euro and its ensembles aren't as frigid, but still below average. Looks like the corresponding storm track after is hinging on the track of this weekend's storm (suppressed like the GFS vs cutter like Euro/UKMET).
 

Cat5

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Now trust me I know anything 5 days or more is unlikely and its probably an outlier but is the 18z GFS run for the 24th to 29th not a nightmare scenario for north and central Alabama?
 

Kory

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GFS and ensembles drop the hammer with the cold. Euro and its ensembles aren't as frigid, but still below average. Looks like the corresponding storm track after is hinging on the track of this weekend's storm (suppressed like the GFS vs cutter like Euro/UKMET).
This has changed. Both models, now, drop the hammer on the cold Sunday into early next week. Looks brutally cold.
 

Timhsv

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If this verifies, it possibly will allow Siberian air mass intrusion. The weeklies are showing about the same idea.
This type of cold will be hard on people. Is this 30+ year cold? Time will tell.
1345549799_ScreenShot2019-01-14at8_42_02PM_png_108517c625c06bbcc5b0862bb300a2b5.png
 
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Just saw a snow map out in crazy land dropping a foot of snow from central Texas through North Alabama up the East Coast the weekend of the 26th, 27th. We will see


Twisterdata was first place I thought of that would have such exaggerated amounts so I gave a look and sure enough-exactly as you said :rolleyes:

pJ6E1S5.png
 

Weatherphreak

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Twisterdata was first place I thought of that would have such exaggerated amounts so I gave a look and sure enough-exactly as you said :rolleyes:

pJ6E1S5.png
Apparently it’s what the GFS is showing. Classic gulf low with already cold temps in place. It’s 10 days out so who knows and it’s the American model which isn’t being adjusted due to the shutdown. After last year shutting out North Alabama I’ll settle for 3-4 inches. Anything but 38 and raining all day.
 

pritchlaw

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driving from Chattanooga to Sevierville early Sunday morning. Anyone care to guess at whether we'll be OK if we get there before lunch?
 

Kory

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Pay attention to next Wednesday's gulf low situation. Enough cold air on the back side may get pulled in to see a quick changeover to snow as the back edge of the precipitation is pulling out. This DOES NOT look like a big event, but maybe a dusting right now for the northern half of MS and AL.
 

warneagle

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Looks like we ended up with about another inch last night. Hopefully we miss the snow and mix this weekend and just get some cold rain.

As Calvin put it, “getting an inch of snow is like winning ten cents in the lottery.”
 

Kory

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Looks like we ended up with about another inch last night. Hopefully we miss the snow and mix this weekend and just get some cold rain.

As Calvin put it, “getting an inch of snow is like winning ten cents in the lottery.”
Unless you live in the South. Then it shuts everything down and for some reason these people go crazy over it. I personally hate snow. And cold.
 

warneagle

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Oh I would much rather it be 100 degrees.

D.C. can handle a few inches but once you get above about 6” everything tends to shut down (the above-ground Metro lines can’t run, etc.). Getting close to a foot on Sunday ground everything that wasn’t already shut down to a halt.
 

skelly

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A decent wintry weather situation would be awesome next week cause traffic is going to be awesome! (Birmingham area!)
 

Jacob

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Today's 12z Euro run would be nothing short of record breaking for next weekend. Hopefully it doesn't happen how it portrays it. Snow for north Alabama would be nice, but highs in the single digits next Sunday....not so much. Lows next Sunday night would be below 0 almost everywhere north of I-20. It has Huntsville around -12°F, with isolated pockets as low as -19°F.
 

Kory

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Seen this before only for it to back peddle. Case and point this weekend was looking frigid. It has moderated considerably.
 

Jacob

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Seen this before only for it to back peddle. Case and point this weekend was looking frigid. It has moderated considerably.

Yeah I don't expect it'll verify anything close to that, it was just an interesting look. It was a pretty dramatic change just from the previous run. It'd be the perfect storm for extreme cold in the deep south with snow on the ground and an extreme arctic air mass moving in.
 
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