Most of the winter forecasts I saw called for an above average December. The cold we had for the last couple weeks were just a bonus, imo.Looking at the long range forecast through the end of the year I'm thinking we may end up calling this "the winter that wasn't". Well above avg temps. It's up to January to pull this one out and the trend isn't favorable
URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE...CORRECTED
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
403 AM CST Sun Dec 30 2018
...FREEZING FOG ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST /11 AM MST/
TODAY FOR MOST OF THE TRANS PECOS...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM CST /10 PM MST/ THIS
EVENING TO 3 PM CST /2 PM MST/ MONDAY FOR THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS,
AS WELL AS THE DAVIS AND APACHE MOUNTAINS ABOVE 5000 FEET...
.Cold air and freezing fog are banked up against the mountains
this morning, resulting in low visibility and light ice accretion.
In addition, temperatures Saturday afternoon did not climb above
freezing in many areas, and there was no melting of ice that
formed Friday night.
An upper level storm system will move through West Texas and
Southeast New Mexico tonight. This will result in high winds in
the Guadalupe Mountains, as well as the Davis and Apache Mountains
above 5000 feet.
Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-Guadalupe Mountains-
Including the cities of Queen, Guadalupe Mountains NP,
and Pine Springs
303 AM MST Sun Dec 30 2018
...FREEZING FOG ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM MST THIS
...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 2 PM
* TIMING...Freezing Fog Advisory...Until 11 AM MST this morning.
High Wind Warning...From 10 PM this evening to 2 PM MST Monday.
* VISIBILITY...3 miles or less.
* ICE...New ice accumulations less than one tenth of an inch.
* WINDS...Tonight...West 40 to 50 mph with gusts to around 70 mph.
Monday...West 35 to 50 mph. Gusts up to 70 mph decreasing to 60
mph in the afternoon.
* Impacts...Ice on roadways, especially bridges will make travel
difficult. Ice on sidewalks and stairways will make for
slippery footing. High winds could make driving difficult for
motorists driving high profile vehicles.
A Freezing Fog Advisory means visibilities will frequently be
reduced with light ice accretion possible. If driving, slow down,
use your headlights, and leave plenty of distance ahead of you.
A High Wind Warning means a hazardous high wind event is expected
or occurring. Sustained wind speeds of at least 40 mph or gusts
of 58 mph or more can lead to property damage.
This looks to be the real deal. The 10-14 day period appears prime for winter weather extremes. I've seen a lot of robust ensemble members on both the GFS, and EURO, and it seems that support continues to grow with each new model run.Signals are showing up on some of the models that frigid air will be heading into the south the last week of January, but we've seen this in the long range before and hasn't materialized yet.