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Weather Banter

Below normal is becoming the new normal for our spring weather here. The atmosphere is heating up faster than the ocean, which is strengthening the inversion. Some people say climate change will make the May Gray/June Gloom less of a factor, but the exact opposite appears to be occurring.
 
Couldn’t find the “weather questions” thread, so thought I’d post here. When a rotation is present on velocity radar, how much leeway should be given before one can assume that they are in the path of the tornado? Let’s say that the tornado is 1/4 mile wide. Is being double the assumed width from the circulation considered safe? There has to be a point where one is not going to be in the upcoming path. I know that the radar is shooting above the horizon and so the tornado is probably not going to be exactly where indicated, but how far off can it reasonably be?
 
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