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Weather Banter

March, so far, has been colder than December, January and February and even colder than March 2023.


2023​
63.77​
65.00​
63.94​
70.87​
69.77​
73.07​
85.10​
84.55​
79.60​
80.06​
75.93​
70.45​
73.51​
2024​
67.03​
64.76​
67.90​
70.77​
70.77​
79.13​
85.55​
87.23​
84.13​
81.00​
72.50​
68.65​
74.95​
2025​
67.77​
70.43​
63.92​
r​
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z​
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z​
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z​
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z​
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z​
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z​
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z​
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z​
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z​
69.10​
j​
 
The Nadocast Twitter feed *might* be active tomorrow! I know some people were asking about it earlier in the megathread.

 
I'm going to respond to this here rather than in the event thread.

Has anyone ever evacuated from an oncoming, confirmed large tornado or considered evacuating by driving away at a right angle? If and only if no other supercells are threatening an escape route? While we have a basement, it's raised above ground on two sides. Of course, my biggest worry is that we would drive away and something else would develop in our evacuation area really quickly, and then we have no shelter in a car.
Nope, I absolutely would not drive to escape. There are too many possible failures.

A basement is still a safer option. Go in the part that is below ground. If there's plumbing in the walls in that section, go near that. Block yourself off from any windows.

If you really feel unsafe, find a nearby shelter (or a friend with a basement you're more OK with) and go there for the time you expect to be hit.

I understand the fear of exposed basements. The reality is that the chance of one of those monster storms (where an exposed basement might not be "enough") hitting your house is much smaller than the chance of you running into danger (including a wreck) while driving in bad weather. And as you mention, driving may possibly take you into the path of something that hasn't fully developed when you set out to leave.

If you are truly determined to drive to escape, I'd suggest looking at Skip Talbot's videos about escape routes for chasing if you haven't seen those already. If they make you feel out of your depth, then do not consider it. Look into underground shelters near you and make the time to be near them during watches so you can go into them immediately (without having to drive) if you do get a warning.
 
As an aside, I love the forum's new autocorrect for the b-word. A petition for people to actually start calling a severe weather event that doesn't come together a Forecasted Convective Amplification Deficiency (FCAD for short).
 
Okay… I have to ask: what is this “Forecasted Convective Amplification Deficiency” thing I keep seeing all about?

The word filter is turning "b-u-s-t" into "Forecasted Convective Amplification Deficiency".

I can't take credit for that one. I'm going to guess it was Wes :p

Now that I think of it, it might have been the old board where I added a bunch of words to the filter.
 
I'm missing the UAH SWIRLL data from this event. Usually, they are out launching balloons and getting into the field. If they are out today, they aren't posting on any social media.
 
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