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It bothers me some of these radars don't have SAILS mode, or just refuse to use it
Though not an exact analog by any means, March 2, 2012 exhibited a significant amount of late-morning/early-afternoon convection over much of the risk area; despite that, a potent tornado outbreak unfolded later that day. So it's definitely not impossible, and with this setup I wouldn't be taking any chances on it.
That's a pretty decent couplet.Tornado warning for St. Louis.
864
WWUS53 KLSX 012339
SVSLSX
Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
639 PM CDT Mon Apr 1 2024
MOC189-510-020015-
/O.CON.KLSX.TO.W.0018.000000T0000Z-240402T0015Z/
St. Louis City MO-St. Louis MO-
639 PM CDT Mon Apr 1 2024
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 715 PM CDT FOR CENTRAL
ST. LOUIS COUNTY AND NORTHERN ST. LOUIS CITY...
At 639 PM CDT, a confirmed tornado was located over Creve Coeur,
moving east at 25 mph.
HAZARD...Damaging tornado and golf ball size hail.
SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado.
IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage
to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is
likely.
This tornado will be near...
University City, Maryland Heights, Creve Coeur, Overland, Clayton,
St. Ann, Bridgeton, Town and Country, Richmond Heights, and Ladue
around 645 PM CDT.
Berkeley, Brentwood, Normandy, Woodson Terrace, Bel-Ridge,
Lambert-St. Louis International Airport, Pagedale, Wellston,
Hanley Hills, and Bel-Nor around 650 PM CDT.
Other locations in the path of this tornadic thunderstorm include St.
Louis, Ferguson, Jennings, Northwoods, Hillsdale, Cool Valley,
Kinloch, Pine Lawn, Velda City, Country Club Hills, Bellefontaine
Neighbors, Dellwood, Flordell Hills, Riverview, Moline Acres, Castle
Point and Glasgow Village.
This also includes Scott Joplin Historic Site.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
To repeat, a tornado is on the ground. TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a
basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy
building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in
a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect
yourself from flying debris.
&&
LAT...LON 3862 9053 3869 9054 3869 9053 3871 9053
3879 9014 3877 9017 3875 9018 3872 9021
3871 9021 3868 9019 3865 9018 3862 9018
TIME...MOT...LOC 2339Z 261DEG 23KT 3867 9047
TORNADO...OBSERVED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.75 IN
$$
Pfahler
This certainly isn't idealTornado confirmed in STL