(Super) El Niño 2026-27

[tennessee storm chaser]

We've officially reached super El Nino temperatures. It's insane how quickly it's escalating.

Also @N0mz if you go to this link and select "copy image address", and then use the "insert image" function "by url" you can have this image in your original post and it'll update in real time. That way anyone who comes into this thread can immediately see the current 3.4 index without having to leave the site.

Really anxious to see how this affects cool season severe weather . Can’t help think it will have effect on it due to the super strength of the Nino

 

[CheeselandSkies]

Really anxious to see how this affects cool season severe weather . Can’t help think it will have effect on it due to the super strength of the Nino

Last Super El Nino winter (2015-'16) saw a couple of intense December tornado outbreaks (12/23 MS/TN and 12/26 TX).

Anyone remember the ENSO phase during December 2021 (12/10 and 12/15)? I seem to recall we were in neutral to weak La Nina during most of 2021-'22, but I'm not positive.

 

[N0mz]

Last Super El Nino winter (2015-'16) saw a couple of intense December tornado outbreaks (12/23 MS/TN and 12/26 TX).

Anyone remember the ENSO phase during December 2021 (12/10 and 12/15)? I seem to recall we were in neutral to weak La Nina during most of 2021-'22, but I'm not positive.

Yeah it was a pretty consistent -1.0 or so

 

[JPWX]

I had my biggest 24-hour total rainfall of 8.75 inches on December 25th, 2015

 

[akt1985]

Watch out for possible EF3 plus tornadoes in Florida this winter during the Super El Niño.

To add to this statement, Both of Florida’s only F4 Tornadoes occurred during an El Niño.

 

[tennessee storm chaser]

This thread here sure is quiet , we R heading toward and El Niño we probably won’t ever see again .
Strength wise

 

[JPWX]

Shared this on my Twitter/FB and thought I would share it here as well.
Interestingly, Tupelo Airport hit 80.6 today for a high. When rounded, this ties the record of 81 set back in 1984.

https://www.extremeweatherwatch.com/cities/tupelo/day/august-2

 

[Grand Poo Bah]

Huge jump this week. Soaring past the very strong mark. We are now at the same level as the 1997–1998 and 2015–2016 El Ninos.

 

[tennessee storm chaser]

Huge jump this week. Soaring past the very strong mark. We are now at the same level as the 1997–1998 and 2015–2016 El Ninos.

We’re fixing blow those years out of the water .

 

[Cyclonic Paracosm]

Me shakes a tad abt our 2nd season into the tornado season of 2027

 

[JPWX]

Don't know if anyone has mentioned this or not. But this is now a Central Pacific Modoki El Nino. The CANSIPS was giving hints this would happen months ago.

 

[Grand Poo Bah]

Don't know if anyone has mentioned this or not. But this is now a Central Pacific Modoki El Nino. The CANSIPS was giving hints this would happen months ago.

Interesting. What does it mean?

 

[JPWX]

Interesting. What does it mean?

Well, in tropical land, this could lead to a more active Atlantic (2004) and hinder Pacific activity in some regard (you'll still have systems) And this is why the Euro might be onto something. Euro has above normal tropical storm frequency in East Pac, but take notice how far below normal hurricane/typhoon frequency it's showing across the Western Pacific. We'll see, but it perks my interest somewhat. Now granted the first storm in 2004 in the Atlantic didn't occur until August and we've already had 2 named storms (June and July). As I've learned over the years, not all ENSO's are the same nor have the same outcome.

 

[tennessee storm chaser]

Already sitting at 2.4 I. The 3.4 region. This going make
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