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Just posted; no word from other sources yet (and most of the tweet is over my head): "...In a nutshell, what all this means is that NOAA and NASA have underpredicted the impact of this coming storm. It could easily be a G3-level or higher, *IF* the observations from Solar Orbiter are any indication. Also, this storm will arrive between early to midday October 28 UTC time!"
An active region has rotated to face us again. From tweets, it sounds like the two events that led to this storm won't spark a May or October-style show, but an eye/lens on the sky Thanksgiving night, weather permitting, might be warranted:
It doesn't sound as though the geomagnetic storm is likely to cause aurora in mid-latitudes on New Year's Eve, but this might be something to keep an eye on for the 1st (NOAA says they might upgrade that one):
Pew-pew! He didn't have to loop it -- my existential dread level is sufficient as is. This wasn't aimed our way but the source region is rotating to face us.
All that might have been when the magnetic field associated with the CME had flipped south. It apparently has flipped north again, per T. Skov, which might reduce our chances for low-latitude aurora tonight:
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