Winter WX Snow Threat on Tuesday (Jan 16, 2018)

[Taylor Campbell]

EURO, and many other models show snow falling across the Southeast early next week.

 

[WesL]

My kids are never going back to school, are they?

 

[rolltide_130]

Much more favorable pattern for significant accumulation than this previous system.. moisture shouldn't be an issue with this one, and this is a case where temps will already be cold so we're not having to hope and pray for a changeover..

 

[maroonedinhsv]

My kids are never going back to school, are they?

I think they’ll go back for 3 weeks before they start getting dismissed for severe weather threats.

 

[rolltide_130]

I think they’ll go back for 3 weeks before they start getting dismissed for severe weather threats.

Right on with that... this spring could be a particularly nasty one, at least that's the consensus a few of us have..

 

[Kory]

Right on with that... this spring could be a particularly nasty one, at least that's the consensus a few of us have..

I'm in that ballpark as well.

 

[Kory]

Whatever snow falls on Tuesday will have significant travel implications. This looks like whatever snow does fall will be with temps in the mid to upper 20s during the DAY Tuesday with overnight lows falling into the single digits and teens.

This is the kind of set up that will squeeze every bit of moisture out of the atmosphere.

 

[rolltide_130]

Spann calling a non-event on Twitter.

Book it now. This is going to be a 2014-esque disaster.

 

[StormStalker]

I remember back in the mid to late 90s we had a clipper swing through and dropped about an inch of snow or maybe a little more and iced the roads up pretty bad. We got out of school early. I do think it was more of a surprise though. Its one of the few times I remember a clipper system bringing us a decent little snow event.

 

[NwAla]

Since Ivy has declared a state of emergency for the flu the schools would not have to make up the day if they do not go on Tuesday. I just learned today that our district will not have to make up yesterday because they turned it in as closed for the Flu.

 

[MikeP]

Models do seem to be trending a bit dryer for Tues....

 

[KoD]

It's day 3 on the NAM so definitely not the first thing to trust, but I like the trends and consistency between models

 

[WesL]

Update from NWS Huntsville

 

[Kory]

I'm not quite sure I'm buying how dry the GFS is. WSW flow from 850mb and up would make me think models should be wetter than they currently are.

UKMET/Euro seem to have the better handle.

 

[k0skinne]

Hoping to get a little more moisture feed from the Gulf with this storm. Models are waffling a little, but hopefully trending wetter.

 

[Kory]

Even a quarter to half inch of wintry precip will create major travel problems.

This set up isn't too far off from Jan 2014...which we all know what happened. Trough axis is a touch further east and is more positively oriented this go around.

 

[bingcrosbyb]

This looks a lot like January 2014

 

[Kory]

SREF totals ticking upward....

 

[KoD]

Ditto for the NAM, and that's using 10:1. HUN seems to think 15:1 is more likely.

 

[k0skinne]

FFC issued SPS of up to 1 inch