00Z guidance hasn't come in for the others yet, but NAM 3km was saying similar things at 18Z.
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Severe WX Severe Wx Outbreak March 1st- 3rd, 2023 - Southern States, MS/OH/TN Valley
- Thread starter KevinH
- Start date
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- Birmingham
Yes, but given it's track record today with isolated convection I'm very weary that it's being too dry.
KevinH
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- West Central GA
Right… and we don’t know if it’s erroneous or not… and probably won’t for a while
Freaking Dixie smh lol
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- Birmingham
Man I'm really considering going to bed now early so I can start real early tommorow in case this event goes big time.
KevinH
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- West Central GA
Please already be in your SAFE space!
The circulation between Mena and Oden, AR is strong.
Apparently was an error with the HRRR for Hour 48, not sure what happened. Soundings from E AL at 18Z.
Austin Dawg
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- Leander, Texas
Austin from Waco lookout.. it's just getting cranked up out there
TornadoFan
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Mena, AR storm has tons of lightning in it.
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- Birmingham
Usually means a strengthening mesocyclone and tornado potential. When they'res a major uptick
KevinH
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- West Central GA
Facts
TornadoFan
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- Colorado
Looks to be ramping up.
KevinH
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- West Central GA
I didn’t know about the error..Apparently was an error with the HRRR for Hour 48, not sure what happened. Soundings from E AL at 18Z.
Oh HELL
*goes to pull soundings for his own area tomorrow*
Austin Dawg
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- 1,013
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- Leander, Texas
We are ok. When this QCLS got to Interstate 35. It started popping off tornado warnings from just north of Austin all the way up to Waco, extending on up into the Dallas area. It's moving to East about 55 mph If you live east of I 35 I would pay attention for the next hour or so. The atmosphere to the east seems primed
These are radar indicated tornadoes, but they're staying with the warnings
These are radar indicated tornadoes, but they're staying with the warnings
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- 6,437
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- Birmingham
May be a robust tornado east of bartlett texas
KevinH
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- West Central GA
I just pulled STP soundings all up and down the AL/GA border tomorrow from (including Columbus, GA) from the HRRR from 1-3pm.
PDS… PDS… PDS…PDS… PDS… PDS…PDS… PDS… PDS…
A bit contaminated, but hours 20-24 are all PDS TOR soundings tomorrow for my house.
Yeah...hours 20-24 on the HRRR for my house are all PDS TOR.
TornadoFan
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Might keep an eye on the Arkansas storm. It seems to be really getting its act together.
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- 1,411
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- Atop Red Mountain Birmingham, Al
Alabama needs to watch out tomorrow.