Severe WX Severe Wx Outbreak March 1st- 3rd, 2023 - Southern States, MS/OH/TN Valley

[Chris3024]

There's MEGs warning. lol. Possible dataflow issue?

 

[UncleJuJu98]

Hold on what's with the wording on the tornado watch for north Alabama?

A couple of strong tornadoes possible? Instead of just a couple of tornadoes possible. Didn't really expect that wording lol

 

[warneagle]

Must have a warning quota to hit tonight

A+ username

 

[TornadoFan]

Storm west of the northern tornado warning has rotation on it.

 

[keithGA]

Hold on what's with the wording on the tornado watch for north Alabama?

A couple of strong tornadoes possible? Instead of just a couple of tornadoes possible. Didn't really expect that wording lol

50/30 probs for TOR

 

[NorthGaWeather]

There's MEGs warning. lol. Possible dataflow issue?

No, according to MEG in chat they were not convinced on the radar presentation but issued for continuity it appears.

 

[UncleJuJu98]

50/30 probs for TOR

Expected a lesser threat honestly but I guess not lol. 50/30 probs is higher than I thought it would be

 

[UncleJuJu98]

Luka missippi has a tight couplet watch out

 

[warneagle]

Expected a lesser threat honestly but I guess not lol. 50/30 probs is higher than I thought it would be

These cells are riding that boundary with a local maximum of shear (>200 ESRH) with 1000+ CAPE to work with so I think it's justified.

 

[Tennie]

Luka missippi has a tight couplet watch out

It's actually "Iuka", with a capital version of the letter "i". Just for future reference (besides, it's an admittedly easy mistake to make).

 

[NorthGaWeather]

Columbus VWP is impressive in the low-levels, especially the lowest 0.5 km. Almost pure streamwise vorticity and there's a good amount available for ingestion. Hytop VWP is not as impressive but still favorable.

 

[UncleJuJu98]

These cells are riding that boundary with a local maximum of shear (>200 ESRH) with 1000+ CAPE to work with so I think it's justified.

Good point, wondering if we are going to see more action with a bit more shear considering it's nocturnal now.

 

[Chris3024]

Large rotating wall cloud reported with the southern storm

 

[Austin Dawg]

The cell heading toward Belmont has a lot of spin

 

[UncleJuJu98]

Large rotating wall cloud reported with the southern storm

The mesoscale is really getting it's act together with inflow. It may go through with a merger to the storm north of it though. May drop a real robust tornado eventually depending on the evolution with nearby storms.

 

[Bevo]

00z HRRR looks absolutely nasty for DFW metro tomorrow. Too close to home for me.

 

[UncleJuJu98]

BWER on the southern warned storm

 

[UncleJuJu98]

Man that cell is really looking strong. Heck best one today in terms of mesocyclone and tornado potential

 

[TornadoFan]

Rotation on both storms really ramped up.

 

[warneagle]

UAH sounding from 6 pm