Severe Weather Threat - October 25/26th, 2025

[Kds86z]

 

[AJS]

Starting to get quite dark in Cypress. Feels disgusting outside and i’m not looking forward to these storms slamming into my area.

 

[WeathermanLeprechaun]

Impressive non tornadic supercell off the coast in TX

 

[JPWX]

I just picked up on this texting with a storm chaser friend of mine.
20z HRRR on RadarOmega valid at 11pm vs 20z HRRR on Weatherbell valid at 11pm.
RadarOmega is off bad

 

[Kds86z]

I just picked up on this texting with a storm chaser friend of mine.
20z HRRR on RadarOmega valid at 11pm vs 20z HRRR on Weatherbell valid at 11pm.
RadarOmega is off bad

So what’s that mean for threat

 

[JPWX]

So what’s that mean for threat

Well, one thing, RadarOmega has some fixing to do on their end. The threat is still there. It's just that for some reason, RadarOmega ain't showing it on their end. Very odd because that's the first time I've seen RadarOmega's HRRR not correspond with other weather sites HRRR that I use. Usually, it's on spot

 

[Kds86z]

Well, one thing, RadarOmega has some fixing to do on their end. The threat is still there. It's just that for some reason, RadarOmega ain't showing it on their end. Very odd because that's the first time I've seen RadarOmega's HRRR not correspond with other weather sites HRRR that I use. Usually, it's on spot

Gotcha. Guess this is an evening overnight threat which didn’t realize. No mcd out yet.

 

[WeathermanLeprechaun]

Gotcha. Guess this is an evening overnight threat which didn’t realize. No mcd out yet.

This convection currently is the beginning of the event. May be a slow start however.

 

[Kds86z]

This convection currently is the beginning of the event. May be a slow start however.

Maybe this thread needs to go to Oct 26? If goes onto overnight

 

[WeathermanLeprechaun]

Maybe this thread needs to go to Oct 26? If goes onto overnight

Things should remain confined to the 25th mostly, and the 26th will just be a low end tornado threat. Not much

 

[Kds86z]

Things should remain confined to the 25th mostly, and the 26th will just be a low end tornado threat. Not much

 

[WeathermanLeprechaun]

Don't think that's happening at 1-2am, most models have that supercell generally in the vicinity of 10-11pm

 

[WeathermanLeprechaun]

Don't think that's happening at 1-2am, most models have that supercell generally in the vicinity of 10-11pm

Also to note models have a clustery mode there too. I'm questioning really pulling a 4-5am late night watch for this...

 

[AJS]

It feels absolutely disgusting outside right now. 74 degrees with an dew point of 68.

 

[ColdFront]

Also to note models have a clustery mode there too. I'm questioning really pulling a 4-5am late night watch for this...

Not telling you how to spend your time, but there have been numerous set ups over the years worth staying up for. I don’t think this one cracks the top 50 lol

 

[WeathermanLeprechaun]

Not telling you how to spend your time, but there have been numerous set ups over the years worth staying up for. I don’t think this one cracks the top 50 lol

True but I just love tracking severe weather LOL so the chances are i probably end up tracking it a bit.

 

[ColdFront]

Meso stats from the Baytown, Texas area currently:



That shear will increase with time. Not a volatile environment, but not a complete nothing-burger either.

 

[WeathermanLeprechaun]

Meso stats from the Baytown, Texas area currently:

View attachment 47798

That shear will increase with time. Not a volatile environment, but not a complete nothing-burger either.

View attachment 47799

Yeah, towards the 01-03z period, we should begin to see increase in shear.

 

[Kds86z]

When is liftoff though? Spc didn’t really say in last outlook.

 

[akt1985]

I’m surprised there is not a weather watch in effect this evening. Was one even issued today?