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Severe Weather Threat - October 18th/19th 2025

Well, I was hoping to go on to bed after this current line pushed through, but I see we have another line behind it. Really had not anticipated two squall lines with this. Ugh
 
POST MORTEM:
Surprisingly, this event did a bit more then i was expecting. We had a surprise, potentially significant bookend vortex tornado in Central AR.
We had brief mesocyclones in Missouri shed off some sort of boundary and one tornado touched down from this.
This is more 50/50, but twin LP tornadoes in Indiana with their TDS likely influenced by leaves. I'm still not sure if these were genuine but the radar data suggests strongly. I was glad to see this one as it occurred!
The Tallulah tornado from that discrete cell that got choked off. Could've been briefly strong but haven't seen any damage just yet.
The Yazoo City tornado that hit and i think was the last of the night.

In all, this event had plenty of variety in the tornadic part, and i hope those affected by a tornado yesterday recover quick!
 
A brief tornado or two may be possible in SE New York early Monday morning. MLCAPE is lacking, but shear is there on a few models although thermos may make it hard for any circulations to sustain proper.
 

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