Severe Weather Threat May 7-10, 2024

[notsoencrypted]

However, any peeks of sunshine here in Madison late this morning/early this afternoon have been pretty brief/muted.

It felt like the cloud cover got solid immediately after I posted, haha.

Got some nice rumbling going on here currently.

 

[notsoencrypted]

Mesoscale discussion for large hail in Texas.

 

[KCweatherboy]

Cell entering south Chicago by Orland Park and Tinley Park seems interesting, unsure if it will get any rotation going before reaching Lake Michigan

 

[notsoencrypted]

And now a tornado warning in SE WI.

 

[KCweatherboy]

That being said, the storms directly SE of the Chicago SVR warning look to be taking on a bean/hook shape

 

[atrainguy]

 

[Clancy]

A rather conducive environment is moving NEward.

 

[CheeselandSkies]

Southwestern Walworth County actually looks like it could produce something, with one or possibly two distinct (but rather modest) couplet(s). Likely rain-wrapped, though.

 

[Clancy]

NAM 3km shows a pretty dangerous environment across parts of AL/GA late tomorrow evening, as does HRRR, though only the former forms much in the way of convection during that time frame. NAM soundings from around Woodstock, GA and Alexander City, AL and an HRRR sounding near Cedar Bluff, AL, 02Z. Convective coverage would be my big question if this kind of environment were to verify.

 

[tennessee storm chaser]

Latest cam s. Showing PDS sounding s. Western Kentucky down to Western tn now

 

[cincywx]

Storms starting to pop in C/EC IL. Couple of them already have low-level rotation

 

[TheSuckZone]

 

[cg9450]

Latest cam s. Showing PDS sounding s. Western Kentucky down to Western tn now

It's definitely looking nasty.

 

[tennessee storm chaser]

Past the caffine.

Going be long night tomorrow night bud latest cams. Short range on to something

 

[Clancy]

This cell SE of Lincoln is spinning pretty good. Small but stout.

 

[Clancy]

Strong meso headed towards Terra Haute.

 

[Tanner]

Strong meso headed towards Terra Haute.
View attachment 26681

It's really intensifying. Entering a localized higher spot of shear.

 

[Clancy]

Honestly quite impressed by how widespread favorable parameters are today. I suppose that's what May climatology will get you.

 

[cincywx]

76/70 here. looking forward to ILN's 21z launch.

 

[cniemczura]

76/70 here. looking forward to ILN's 21z launch.

What's your thoughts for the Cincinnati metro area on timing/intensity today?