Severe Weather Threat - May 6, 2024

[TornadoFan]

Canadian County storm just went tornado warned

 

[Muwx]

May be two tornadoes on the Kansas storm

 

[BayouWeatherGeek]

Storm near Geary is really trying to put a tornado on the ground.

 

[Justin Hindman]

I can easily see this pulling an April 27th 2024 event where all hell breaks loose at the last second with only a few hour’s left remaining of the threat.

As bad as the models looked, it doesn’t even compare to the set up of April 27.

 

[Clancy]

Wowzers!

 

[Tanner]

As bad as the models looked, it doesn’t even compare to the set up of April 27.

I respectively disagree.

 

[Maxis_s]

As bad as the models looked, it doesn’t even compare to the set up of April 27.

2024, not 2011.

 

[Clancy]

Aaaand there goes the Terlton storm.

 

[TornadoFan17]

I just got out of taking a final that started at 7pm. What has changed between then and now? I'm not calling for the "B-word" but it seems like things are at least behind schedule.

 

[jiharris0220]

Seems like things are ramping up now? Maybe?

 

[Maxis_s]

Echo tops of nearly 55kft on the Greenfield storm! Holy moly!

 

[Clancy]

KS storm #2 really cranking.

 

[Fred Gossage]

I have to disagree here. If nothing major tornado wise happens in the coming hours, it was objectively the wrong call.

It is painfully obvious why they went HIGH, and I think me and about everywhere else here would’ve done the same. It’ll be an interesting case study barring some storms going off after dark.

Yep, exactly to all of this, and it's a fine line and slippery slope to try to navigate. This is where statistical verification vs. risk justification comes into play. And that then leaves it open to how a person is interpreting what is "right"... the objective verification or the moral and risk-based justification? It's a massively slippery slope because of how the High Risk is the top-tier warning shot that the SPC has at the forecast level, especially in a social climate these days where a large percentage of the population (not just a vocal minority anymore) bend over backwards to shun anything that is deemed as "official" or things associated with government and media entities. They already scour the earth looking for the lamest excuses to not believe us about the most trivial things as is, much less when the strongest forecast alarm we have to sound is sounded, and then it ends up not verifying. But at the same time, as we've discussed in here already, it would've been an even bigger failure in the eyes of the skeptics and constant naysayers if a High Risk wouldn't have been outlined and then we end up with multiple violent tornadoes in that populated I-35 corridor.

 

[TH2002]

Moline, KS is in trouble! Nasty couplet headed right for the town.

 

[Clancy]

Small TOR just issued for this storm near Kaw City.

 

[Clancy]

The Terlton storm looking more classic + couplet developing near Pawnee.

 

[TornadoFan]

Geary storm getting more of an inflow notch

 

[TornadoFan]

Geary storm looking quite sus at the moment.

 

[Bama Ravens]

Aaaand there goes the Terlton storm.
View attachment 26575

Yeah this one is really trying.

 

[TornadoFan]

That Geary storm is continuing to look impressive.