TornadoFan
Member
Arnett, OK storm just went severe warned.
All eyes (including mine) are primarily on Oklahoma, and for good reason. But these sneaky TN setups beyond fascinate me. High shear, low CAPE setups in that region have multiple times ended in disaster (3/3/2020 and 12/9/2023 for example) but the parameters seem to be flip-flopped this time around. Curious how things will unfold over there.
I don't see any way for tonight not to be devastating for someone, somewhere. Hopefully we're all wrong.We are in now cast mode but 19z HRRR paints a menacing picture through tonight. Even has one or two “tail end Charlie’s” firing south of the congealed line tonight in Oklahoma
Yep that'd be those 2% supercells.
Yeah, should have a few more storms going up along the dry line which would put them on course for the MDT area around 22-23z. More or less in line with the SPC forecast.We should start picking up a bunch here in the next hour or two. Buckle up!
Yeah, velocity looks like 130 GTG shear....far away from any good radar, but still...Yeah, Pawnee Rock could really use a TOR...
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Throw central Kansas into that equation too. Radar coverage in both areas is abysmal...And now we get to experience the joys of radar coverage in western Oklahoma for a couple of hours.