Cell near Olney, in the general area of Wichita Falls is severe-warned, and is showing rotation.
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Severe Weather Threat May 17-19, 2025
- Thread starter Brice W
- Start date
Kds86z
Member
Shakespeare 2016
Member
Yeah, you can look at it that way.
TornadoFan
Member
Central Ohio Wx
Member
This chart will help. Ignore the box over "significant", I have a script on Wikipedia that highlights potentially promotional words.
Shakespeare 2016
Member
That is a good chart.
Schoeppeya
Member
Quite a bit of veer back veer in that sounding and the cap explains why storms are struggling, although I can verify it is absolutely juiced outside with very gusty winds. This first round struggling some and not becoming fully established is probably worse news for later this evening, theres still a lot of sun in the warm sector across Oklahoma
Central Ohio Wx
Member
The top row is "official" rating classifications from the NWS, and the second and third are overarching classifications. Not sure where the last one comes from, but it works nonetheless.
Shakespeare 2016
Member
EF2...Strong
EF3...Strong
EF4...Violent
EF5...Violent
EF2...Strong
EF3...Severe
EF4...Extreme
EF5...Catastrophic
Significant...EF2 to EF5
Intense...EF3 to EF5
Violent...EF4 to EF5
jiharris0220
Member
Looking at Skew Ts, inversion layer is honestly a bit more stout to modeled. This, along with sufficient mixing in the PBL, could help in keeping crapvection in check and actually allow for storms to stay a little more spaced.
jiharris0220
Member
This was the second tornado produced by this supercell if I remember correctly, no debarking visible in this area.
Curious to see how intense the contextuals are with the last and strongest tornado are, according to radar.
This also means that it may be more difficult for storms to rise up on the dryline, in North TX right? Or am I lost
Muwx
Member
That's just an old corn field. I dont really see any damage in those pictures.
At the least, that means that today's ceiling has gotten at least a little bit higher.
Schoeppeya
Member
Yeah a bunch of corn stalks from last years crops getting blown over isnt that wild
Schoeppeya
Member
Suns out on the backside of those storms in south tulsa.
jiharris0220
Member
No, this is only relevant for OWS convection. The dryline is going to convect once the forcing mechanism arrives regardless if the inversion layer is there or not.
The forcing mechanism for the OWS convection is a mid level cold front, if the inversion layer holds, it will be beneficial for individual supercells in keeping them discrete. Emphasis on the “if”.
Tanner
Member
Goodness gracious, another day of significant tornadoes potentially on our hands today and a prolific severe weather day at that.
@andyhb I don’t know if you’re busy chasing, but I’m curious to hear your opinion on today?
Seems like dryline initiation may be aided by outflow boundaries. I’m particularly concerned about today considering the population centers at risk.
@andyhb I don’t know if you’re busy chasing, but I’m curious to hear your opinion on today?
Seems like dryline initiation may be aided by outflow boundaries. I’m particularly concerned about today considering the population centers at risk.
Muwx
Member
I’m really not seeing why so much of Missouri is in the 15% hatching for tornadoes. The threat here seems fairly low to me