Severe Weather Threat May 17-19, 2025

[Tanner]

Goodness gracious, another day of significant tornadoes potentially on our hands today and a prolific severe weather day at that.

@andyhb I don’t know if you’re busy chasing, but I’m curious to hear your opinion on today?

Seems like dryline initiation may be aided by outflow boundaries. I’m particularly concerned about today considering the population centers at risk.

 

[Muwx]

I’m really not seeing why so much of Missouri is in the 15% hatching for tornadoes. The threat here seems fairly low to me

 

[Kds86z]

 

[TheSuckZone]

60/60

 

[UpperLevelLOL]

 

[Jbop]

Some TX counties have been added to the watch

TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

COLLIN COOKE DENTON
FANNIN GRAYSON JACK
LAMAR MONTAGUE PALO PINTO
PARKER STEPHENS WISE
YOUNG

 

[Ebaad Jaffery]

Some TX counties have been added to the watch

TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

COLLIN COOKE DENTON
FANNIN GRAYSON JACK
LAMAR MONTAGUE PALO PINTO
PARKER STEPHENS WISE
YOUNG

Heya that’s me!!

 

[Muwx]

60/60

Very low for a 15% tor risk

 

[Tennie]

Very low for a 15% tor risk

If I had to guess, they're probably hedging their bets.

 

[Kds86z]

Still no tornado warning? Ook..

 

[Ebaad Jaffery]

Still no tornado warning? Ook..

On which storm?

 

[UpperLevelLOL]

Still no tornado warning? Ook..

? None of these look tornadic yet

 

[Kds86z]

On which storm?

Anywhere haha

 

[Beachwalker]

Still no tornado warning? Ook..

That’s a good thing!!!

 

[Kds86z]

 

[Schoeppeya]

Still no tornado warning? Ook..

Rotation on the new Ok cells already

 

[Kds86z]

That’s a good thing!!!

Not isn’t lol. Not from a chaser or enthusiast perspective.

 

[Ebaad Jaffery]

? None of these look tornadic yet

Well... some have rotation. For example the storm near Dougherty, OK. Hook echo too.

 

[lake.effect]

Wichita Falls cells is wrapping up

 

[Ebaad Jaffery]

Wichita Falls cells is wrapping up

It wants to do it, but I think that the cell northwest of it, which you can make out on the reflectivity as a gradient, has some rotation on it as well, seen on velocity, which could be affecting it.