Severe Weather Threat May 17-19, 2025

[Ozonelayer]

Oh God....Everyone needs to hope and pray that it doesn't reach DFW.

 

[OH-IOan]

I'm going to go to bed now, I guess I'll see tomorrow whether the worst has transpired or whether a major metro dodged a bullet.

 

[Kds86z]

Hopefully no fatalities in that Ks town but no sirens..

 

[tornado examiner]

that’s already an occluding mesocyclone and probably won’t last much longer.

 

[TornadoFan]

Is that a new storm I'm seeing south of Dodge City?

 

[AJS]

Is that a new storm I'm seeing south of Dodge City?

Which one?

 

[TornadoFan]

Which one?

North of Ashland, Kansas.

 

[AJS]

North of Ashland, Kansas.

That one is growing rapidly.

 

[Grand Poo Bah]

that’s already an occluding mesocyclone and probably won’t last much longer.

or it's just cycling

 

[lake.effect]

TX supercell is occluding, might be reorganizing. Hopefully it dies

 

[AJS]

Really hope the cell is dying.

 

[TornadoFan]

 

[Maxis_s]

RTMA shows an STP of EIGHTEEN in NW OK. I don't think it's ever shown that much before.

 

[jiharris0220]

It seems like the notion that the tornado was indeed “weakening” was true, but as it was shrinking and occluding, winds velocities increased due to conservation of angular momentum.

This is the unfortunate reality of radar holes, the tornado ceased to be where the radar was scanning, but still existed below the radar beam, giving the illusion that it had died just before hitting town.

 

[Kds86z]

It seems like the notion that the tornado was indeed “weakening” was true, but as it was shrinking and occluding, winds velocities increased.

This is the unfortunate reality of radar holes, the tornado ceased to be where the radar was scanning, but still existed below the radar beam, giving the illusion that it had died just before hitting town.

Like matador..

 

[lake.effect]

Even though velocities are weak now, I really don't like what I'm seeing with DFW cell. It looks like it's reorganizing / consolidating into a classic supercell and velocities are still very strong.

 

[OhOkayThen]

Yikes, that inflow notch is reorganizing quick.

 

[Maxis_s]

RTMA shows an STP of EIGHTEEN in NW OK. I don't think it's ever shown that much before.
View attachment 42369

STP of 21 with a SCP of 66. Easily the highest that mesoanalysis has ever shown.

 

[rushdude]

TX supercell is occluding, might be reorganizing. Hopefully it dies

I hope it does too. It's a slow mover and showed a dead man walking. Scary

 

[Ozonelayer]

View attachment 42370
STP of 21 with a SCP of 66. Easily the highest that mesoanalysis has ever shown.

Is that higher than the previous record?