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Severe Weather Threat May 17-19, 2025

Not to shy away from today/tomorrow but NWS Paducah seems pretty confident (considering they have mentioned this the last 2 discussions) that severe props will rise once Tuesday gets closer, they believe models are just having a hard time with boundary placements. But they mention in their 1pm update that they expect a possibly significant setup with the increased shear and instability that is showing up.
 
Today is easily the most excited I’ve been for a plains outbreak. Everything seems to be lining up tor all types of tornadic activity up and down the southern/great plains. Deep moisture, unreal lapse rates and CAPE, and probably the wildest shear profile to go along with it that I’ve ever seen. The best part? It’s in an area where population is sparse–hopefully anything that we see misses the towns that are in the risk area.

Can’t say I don’t wish I was out there!
 
No, 2024! Is that what y'all thought I mean? Sorry. :(
That's because 4/27/2011 was a MUCH more memorable event than 4/27/2024. My recommendation going forward is to state the year in addition to the date to make it clear which date you're referring to.
 
Convection has initiated in Oklahoma. Who would have thought.
The convention you’re talking about is elevated and has been present in Oklahoma since this morning.

And I honestly don’t appreciate these pitiful shots you’re taking at me for no reason at all.

Please try to be mature and don’t clog this thread with this crap, everyone has already seen enough of it with the last thread.
 
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