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Severe Weather Threat May 16-18, 2026

Thats what I thought lol.
View attachment 52879
It really is an impressive mini supercell, especially for a storm west of the Rockies.
colorado2.png
 


WITH TIME, A STRENGTHENING SOUTHERLY LOW-LEVEL JET IS FORECAST TO
YIELD AN INCREASE IN LOW-LEVEL HODOGRAPH CURVATURE INTO THIS
EVENING, WHICH WOULD FAVOR AT LEAST SOME INCREASE IN THE THREAT FOR
A TORNADO OR TWO, PARTICULARLY WITH ANY SUPERCELL/CONVECTION THAT
CAN FAVORABLY INTERACT WITH THE WARM FRONT. UNCERTAINTY REMAINS
REGARDING CONVECTIVE COVERAGE AND PERSISTENCE WITHIN THE WARM
SECTOR, HOWEVER. TRENDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED, AND WATCH
ISSUANCE MAY EVENTUALLY BE NEEDED.

..CHALMERS/MOSIER.. 05/17/2026
 
There's a line of storms just north of the Nebraska-South Dakota border, and it looks like it'll be traversing the northern end of the 15% tornado risk area fairly soon. I wonder what that will do to the risk in that area?
 
There's a line of storms just north of the Nebraska-South Dakota border, and it looks like it'll be traversing the northern end of the 15% tornado risk area fairly soon. I wonder what that will do to the risk in that area?
There's now a tornado warning on the line:

kfsd_20260517_1958_NROT_0.5.png
 
Instead of crying to mods like a little b*tch why don't you address me like a man? Or do you need to be dominated too?
So WeathermanLeprechaun gets banned for harsh but very fair criticism of how this site is run, but crap like this faces no punishment whatsoever??

What an absolute joke.
 
i'm starting my own weather forum, a better more functional alternative to this place. it's invite-only though, and you're not exactly showing me that you are getting an invite.
I have a legitamate question. You’re a bright guy judging by some of your posts, and then you veer into this bizarre sh*tposting territory mixed with eroticism for men. Absolutely no judgement if that’s real, but I think you just do it as some sort of joke. Do you just find that kind of shock humor funny?
 
FARTHER SOUTH, A CIG2 TORNADO AREA WAS CONSIDERED ACROSS EASTERN NE
AND WEST-CENTRAL IA GIVEN THE PRESENCE OF STP 4-7 POSSIBLY
OVERLAPPING WITH DISCRETE SUPERCELLS. HOWEVER, NUMEROUS STORMS ARE
EXPECTED AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT WITH EXPECTED INTERACTIONS CASTING
UNCERTAINTY ON THE LONGEVITY OF THE MORE DISCRETE STORMS.
REGARDLESS, A VOLATILE THERMODYNAMIC AND KINEMATIC ENVIRONMENT (RAP
ESRH 300-400 M2/S2) COULD SUPPORT THE THREAT FOR A HIGHER-END
TORNADO THIS EVENING ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN NE AND SOUTHWESTERN IA
SHOULD SUPERCELLS REMAIN MORE DISCRETE.

..SOUTHERN OK AND NORTH TX
 
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