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Severe Weather Threat June 15-23

Last few runs of the HRRR for today are concerning, to say the least. Shows the cap breaking with multiple discrete to semi-discrete supercells in a high-end environment. >4000 J/kg of CAPE across a pretty wide area, with 0-3 km shear exceeding 600 m2/s2 in some spots. I understand CAMs notoriously struggle on days like these though, so we’ll see. But a violent tornado is absolutely possible if the HRRR verifies, perhaps more than one.
 
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