-
Welcome to TalkWeather! We see you lurking around TalkWeather! Take the extra step and join us today to view attachments, see less ads and maybe even join the discussion. CLICK TO JOIN TALKWEATHER
Severe Weather Threat - January 8th-9th, 2024
- Thread starter Taylor Campbell
- Start date
-
- Tags
- severe weather
- Messages
- 4,515
- Reaction score
- 9,049
- Location
- California, United States
- Special Affiliations
- SKYWARN® Volunteer
April 4 of last year, don't worry I'm still catching up too haha
Although, I hesitate to call any outlook that materializes in at least one significant, deadly tornado a Forecasted Convective Amplification Deficiency, though the Marble Hill EF2 did technically occur outside of the MDT risk area (I think it actually occurred near the border of the ENH/SLGT risk areas?)
Yeah. I absolutely do not like when people think that when you have a Level 4 or 5 risk and don't have over 15 tornadoes occur, then it's a Forecasted Convective Amplification Deficiency. By people, I mean chasers included. That really gets under my skin because it makes you think all they care about is getting tornadoes. Another subject for another time though.
STP and EHI are stupid high along the coast. STP maybe a little contaminated but still.
Rather dangerous setup to have a high likelihood of QCLS tornadoes. literally could destroy houses and be gone before radar picks up a debris signature.
Rather dangerous setup to have a high likelihood of QCLS tornadoes. literally could destroy houses and be gone before radar picks up a debris signature.
Not mention there has been a slight but steady march north in terms of instability. NWS has picked up on this with a increased area of QCLS tornadoes.
It's going to be one heck of a night along the coast if the available parameter space is realized with QCLS tornadoes.
It's going to be one heck of a night along the coast if the available parameter space is realized with QCLS tornadoes.
Some folks have no sense of others and the loss that storms can exact on communities, but that's a discussion for another time. I think the SPC is making a good call with an ENH - lots of uncertainty and just as much potential for a nasty tornado event tomorrow into Tuesday.
Trey thinks storms moving onshore may pose a significant tornado risk.
Also not every day you see a High Wind Warning issued for Mobile and New Orleans CWA
- Thread starter
- Moderator
- #189
Becoming the norm now days. Not a full year apart and it’s happened again.
Something to tickle the funny bone for you guys.
"Heckin chonker"
"Heckin chonker"
I'd probably be lying if I said I've never uttered that phrase before. I understand exactly what they mean
21z rap bringing moisture more inland as well like the HRRR. Just about into south central Mississippi and Alabama.
Couldn't agree much more
What's the wave heights forecasted to be? Just curious
Gawxnative
Member
Surf to 10 ft but Storm Warning has seas of 10-18 feet
Found the the actual text.
Pretty gnarly constant winds from the south at 34-46 mph and gusts of 63mph. That warm sector will be scooting. I wonder if the models are still not handling it well lol.
Pretty chilling, wish the best of luck for mobile NWS crew. This will be a very tricky and bad event.
warneagle
Member
Yeah I get that the window for moisture return/theta-e advection is pretty narrow but anywhere that does get significant destabilization could be in trouble with at 70+ kt southerly LLJ. Terrifying kinematics with any sort of discrete storms.